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news

2023 NFC win-total projections: Eagles, 49ers remain atop conference; Cowboys, Packers miss playoffs

Will the Eagles repeat in a tough NFC East? Can the Lions live up to their offseason hype? Which purported title contender could miss the playoffs altogether? Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund reveals her projected win total for each NFC team.

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2023 AFC win-total projections: Chiefs, Bengals, Bills reign; Dolphins, Steelers miss playoffs

Who will make the playoffs from the highly competitive AFC North? Will Aaron Rodgers lead the Jets to the postseason? Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund reveals her projected win total for each AFC team.

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2023 NFL season: Projecting win share leaders on offense (quarterbacks + non-QBs) and defense

Which NFL players will make the greatest contributions to their respective teams' success in 2023? Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund uses her models to project win share leaders among quarterbacks, non-QB offensive players and defensive players -- and some results will surprise you.

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2023 NFL fantasy football: Overvalued/undervalued players to know for your draft

As we enter the prime drafting season for fantasy football, Cynthia Frelund identifies overvalued and undervalued players. Plus, in the wake of Dalvin Cook signing with the Jets and Ezekiel Elliott joining the Patriots, how should you treat those two backfields?

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes congratulates Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce after his touchdown during the second half of an NFL football game against the Cleveland Browns, Sunday, Sept.12, 2021 in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)

Projecting NFL's 2023 stat leaders: Chiefs, 49ers each boast a pair of potential chart-topping players

Will Patrick Mahomes continue to pace NFL quarterbacks? Can anyone cover the reigning MVP's biggest weapon in Travis Kelce? Cynthia Frelund provides her model's projected 2023 league leaders in the major individual statistics.
Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver George Pickens (14) celebrates after an NFL football game against the Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday, Dec. 24, 2022, in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)

Five NFL wide receivers poised to break out in Year 2

Which second-year receivers are poised to take the biggest step forward in the 2023 NFL season? Cynthia Frelund spotlights five wideouts with serious breakout potential.
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins speaks to the media during an NFL football press conference in Eagan, Minn., Wednesday, May 3, 2023. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

NFL's most underappreciated players: Kirk Cousins, Osa Odighizuwa among NFC picks

Does Kirk Cousins catch too much flak? Do the Dallas Cowboys have an emerging difference-maker at defensive tackle? Cynthia Frelund names the most underappreciated player on each team in the NFC.
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (85) runs a route from the line of scrimmage during an NFL wild-card playoff football game against the Baltimore Ravens, Sunday, Jan. 15, 2023, in Cincinnati. The Bengals won 24-17. (Aaron Doster via AP)

NFL's most underappreciated players: Tee Higgins, D.J. Reed among AFC picks

Just how much does Tee Higgins mean to the Cincinnati Bengals? Cynthia Frelund names the most underappreciated player on each team in the AFC.
San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) completes a pass and runs with the ball for a touchdown during an NFL wild-card playoff football game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks in Santa Clara, Calif., Saturday, Jan. 14, 2023. (Michael Owens via AP)

NFL's top 10 offenses in 2023? Bills, Chiefs, Eagles produce highest win-share projections

How much of the load will Christian McCaffrey and the 49ers' offense help carry in San Francisco? Cynthia Frelund forecasts the top 10 offenses of the 2023 NFL season according to projected win share. 
JAllen forge

NFL schedule: Each AFC team's win total projection for 2023 season

How will the Jets fair after trading for Aaron Rodgers? Will Patrick Mahomes lead the Chiefs back to the Super Bowl? Who'll take the revamped AFC South? Cynthia Frelund projects 2023 win totals for every AFC team.
Dan Forge

NFL schedule: Each NFC team's win total projection for 2023 season

Cynthia Frelund dissects the NFL schedule to project 2023 win totals for each NFC team -- including Dan Campbell's Detroit Lions, who are poised to hit a new high in the North.
Zay Flowers and Tyler Lockett

2023 NFL Draft: Pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top wide receiver prospects

Is Zay Flowers poised to become a Tyler Lockett clone on Sundays? Which franchise could scoop up the Boston College playmaker in the 2023 NFL Draft? Cynthia Frelund provides pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top wide receiver prospects.
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2023 NFL Draft: Four win-win trade scenarios in Round 1

With the 2023 NFL Draft just days away, Cynthia Frelund identifies four Round 1 trade scenarios that would be win-win for both teams involved. Could the Rams move up and choose a prospect in the first-round for the first time since 2016?
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2023 NFL Draft: Pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top cornerback prospects

Can Devon Witherspoon make a Jaire Alexander-esque impact on the NFL? Which franchise could scoop up the Illinois cover man in the 2023 NFL Draft? Cynthia Frelund provides pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top cornerback prospects.
cj dak forge

2023 NFL Draft: Pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top quarterback prospects

Cynthia Frelund identifies pro comparisons and team fits for the top five quarterback prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft class. What is it about C.J. Stroud that is reminiscent of Dak Prescott?
Khalil Mack

2023 NFL Draft: Pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top edge-rushing prospects

Is Will Anderson Jr. a fresh version of seven-time Pro Bowler Khalil Mack? Which NFL franchise suits the Alabama product? Cynthia Frelund provides pro comparisons and analytical team fits for the top edge prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft.
Texas running back Bijan Robinson carries against West Virginia during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Stephen Spillman)

Cynthia Frelund 2023 NFL mock draft 2.0: Packers select WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba; Falcons pick QB

In her second mock of the 2023 NFL Draft, Cynthia Frelund uses her analytical model to project Picks 1-31. Which first-round selection churned out by her model left her surprised? (Hint: It happens at No. 4 overall.)
David Montgomery split

2023 NFL free agency: Four analytical fits and three head-scratchers

Will Orlando Brown Jr. be a major difference-maker for the Bengals? Might the Lions have overpaid for David Montgomery? Cynthia Frelund identifies four analytical fits and three head-scratching pairings from the early free agency signings.
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2023 NFL free agency: Six ideal player-team fits based on win-share projections

Which franchise could add four-plus wins in the coming season with the signing of quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo? Cynthia Frelund uses analytics to find six ideal team fits for players about to hit the 2023 NFL free agency market.
Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill (17) warms up before an NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Zaleski)

Restructure or release? Ryan Tannehill, Joe Mixon among AFC players who could be cap casualties

Has Ryan Tannehill started his last game for the Tennessee Titans? Will Joe Mixon take another carry for the Cincinnati Bengals? Cynthia Frelund spotlights nine notable AFC players who could be due for a contract restructure or outright release this offseason.
Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott (21) walks onto the field during an NFL Football game in Arlington, Texas, Thursday, Nov. 24, 2022. (AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)

Restructure or release? Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott headlines NFC players to keep an eye on

Is Ezekiel Elliott's tenure with the Dallas Cowboys about to come to an end? Cynthia Frelund spotlights nine notable NFC players who could be due for a contract restructure or outright release this offseason.
Zay Flowers tn

Cynthia Frelund 2023 NFL mock draft 1.0: Cowboys select RB Bijan Robinson; Saints snag QB

In her first mock of the 2023 NFL Draft, Cynthia Frelund uses her analytical model to project Picks 1-31. Which three teams does she have drafting WRs?
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NFL's five most overperforming/underperforming units of 2022 season: Geno Smith, Seahawks soared

What drove the surprising success of Seattle's passing offense? How badly did Russell Wilson and the Broncos' offense stumble? Cynthia Frelund identifies the five units that most overperformed in the 2022 NFL season -- plus the five units that fell the farthest short of expectations.
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) with the quarterback sneak for the first down during the NFL football game against the New York Giants, Sunday, Jan. 8, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)

NFL playoffs: One thing each Championship Sunday team does better than the others 

NFL.com analytics guru Cynthia Frelund identifies the one unique strategic advantage each team playing on Championship Sunday has over its competitors. Plus, updated Super Bowl win probabilities for all four teams. 
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