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NFL Week 11 bold predictions: Jameis Winston's Giants upset Packers; Ashton Jeanty goes off

NFL.com analysts provide one bold prediction for Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season, from fantasy forecasts to team-based takes.

Marc Ross
NFL.com Analyst

Jameis Winston lights up Packers D in first start of 2025. 


No Jaxson Dart, no problem. Winston is getting his first start this season, and you know it will be a roller coaster ride -- remember last year's outing against Denver, when he threw for 497 yards, four touchdowns and three INTs for the Browns? Don't worry; the Giants will get good Jameis on Sunday. He'll put up 300 passing yards and two touchdowns against Green Bay's seventh-ranked scoring defense, which just stifled the Eagles. New York gets its first win since Week 6, and Green Bay loses its third straight. 

David Carr
NFL.com Analyst

Caleb Williams has big day but Bears lose.


Williams' play has been uneven this season despite the Bears winning six of their last seven games. He's looking to get some revenge from the Week 1 loss to Minnesota this weekend. He shows up in a big way for Chicago by tossing four touchdowns with zero INTs (his first such game since Week 3); however, he and the Bears fall to the Vikings on the road.

Marcas Grant
Fantasy Analyst

Ashton Jeanty is the top overall scorer in fantasy.


As bad as the Dallas Cowboys have been against all running backs in general, they’re even worse against pass-catching running backs. While Jeanty’s receiving chops aren’t his headline feature, he does have five games with four or more targets. Look for him to get plenty of run after the catch. Combine that with his run after the handoff, and a huge week is coming for the Raiders rookie.

Matt Okada
Programmer, Fantasy Content

NFC West tight end joins elite company at position.


In the history of the NFL, there have only been five instances of a tight end catching 15-plus passes in a game. The first occurred in 1984 (Kellen Winslow), the last occurred in 2020 (George Kittle) and Jason Witten is responsible for two, including the record of 18 catches in 2012. Trey McBride will join that list on Sunday, given that he figures to be Jacoby Brissett’s only reliable target, with Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined. He’ll be the highest scorer in all of fantasy and lead the Cardinals to an upset win over San Francisco.

Michael Florio
Fantasy Analyst

Christian Watson goes for a career high in receiving yards.


The Giants have allowed the third-most yards to WRs. Specifically, they have allowed the third-most yards on deep passes, and they play man coverage at the second-highest rate. Since returning to action in Week 8, Watson leads the Packers receivers in yards on deep passes and against man coverage. He goes boom in a big way this week, topping his best career outing of 150 receiving yards in Week 11 of last season.

Brooke Cersosimo
Senior Staff Editor

Rams defense quiets NFL's receiving yards leader.


Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL in receiving yards (1,041) and has posted six games of 100-plus yards. The Rams have a stout run defense but rank in the middle of the pack against the pass. Chris Shula's unit clamps down against Seattle's aerial attack and limits JSN to a season-low 75 receiving yards.