You'll note that several times throughout this mock, I point to 2020 free agency as a factor for the selection. Teams aren't just evaluating needs for 2019 when considering whom to pick, as they must also take into account free agency choices yet to come.
Keep in mind: The picks made in the 2019 draft can certainly help a team this fall, but they really affect the 2020 and '21 seasons as much or more.
Murray's arm, mobility and ability to run Oklahoma's offense make him the odds-on favorite to land at the No. 1 spot, either as a Cardinal or with another team moving up to pick him.
School: Missouri | Year: Senior
**PROJECTED TRADE WITH 49ERS.** Jon Gruden gets his quarterback by moving up two spots. Gruden coached Lock at the Senior Bowl, and it's easy to see him appreciating the former Missouri quarterback's demeanor and physical tools. If the Raiders don't move up to get him, the Dolphins, Broncos or Giants could make a deal with the 49ers to land Lock.
Nick ends up as the No. 3 pick in the draft, like his brother Joey was three years ago. The heavy-handed younger Bosa is the base end the Jets need.
School: Alabama | Year: Sophomore (RS)
**PROJECTED TRADE WITH RAIDERS.** Williams adds yet another elite talent to San Francisco's defensive front. In this trade, the 49ers will likely gain the Raiders' fourth-round pick this year (Oakland does not have a third-round pick after the Antonio Brown trade) and their 2020 second- or third-round selection.
The Bucs are switching to a 3-4 scheme under new coordinator Todd Bowles, and Allen fits like a glove at outside linebacker. In fact, he'd fit at linebacker in any system.
GM Dave Gettleman ignores the cries for a quarterback at No. 6 and picks his highest-rated defensive lineman remaining. Gary is versatile enough to play anywhere from the 3-technique to the outside.
The only thing better than having one very good pass rusher is having two very good pass rushers. Sweat and Trey Flowers should make opposing quarterbacks nauseous.
School: Ohio State | Year: Sophomore (RS)
The difference between left and right tackle has become blurred over time, and the Bengals really struggled at RT last year. Dillard's pass-protection skills will be valued on the right side and he could shift to the blind side once Cordy Glenn's time with the team comes to an end. The Bengals re-signed Bobby Hart, but he slides into backup duty in this scenario.
School: Houston | Year: Junior
**PROJECTED TRADE WITH DOLPHINS.** Oliver's a top-10 talent despite his average size, and the Bills could use another body on defense. Don't be surprised if they ask him to stand up to rush the quarterback. The Bills should gain at least a third- and fifth-round pick in this trade, as the Raiders did when they dropped from 10 to 15 last year so the Cardinals could move up for Josh Rosen
Washington needs a playmaking receiver in the worst way. Metcalf met with the team at the combine, so we'll see if he made a good impression.
Gettleman gets his Eli Manning clone in Jones, though he'll appreciate the improved athleticism.
Signing Cameron Wake was good for this year, but Burns' skills will be valued in 2020 and beyond.
Sometimes inside linebackers become available later in the first round than their talent would warrant, providing great value. The Steelers pinch themselves seeing a player like Bush still on the board.
Murphy stays in the Pacific Northwest to add ballhawking skills and toughness to the Seahawks' secondary.
Jon Gruden hopes Ferrell can bring back the pass rush the team missed after trading Khalil Mack.
Running back is a big need for the Eagles, and Jacobs' less-than-ideal 40 time (unofficially 4.60 at his pro day, per NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah) has no bearing on his likely success on Sundays. (UPDATE: The Eagles traded for Bears running back Jordan Howard on Thursday night.)
GM Chris Ballard wants to upgrade his team's defensive line. Lawrence can be a dominant force when rested and ready to go.
Ford plugs in at right tackle for the Chargers, who need to shore up that side of the line.
After addressing an offensive need with the 12th pick, the Packers find a leader for the secondary in Abram.
Gronk was more than a tight end -- he was also the team's best downfield target. If Butler is still available here, his 6-foot-5 frame, speed and jump-ball ability could entice the Pats to pick him up, or maybe cause a team to trade into this spot for him.