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The odds are in Coughlin's favor. After New York slapped Cruz with a first-round tender, any takers must be willing to hand the Giants their top draft pick along with paying Cruz a mountain of cash. The restricted free-agent market is historically silent because the cost is outrageous.
Cruz would stand to make roughly $6 million per season on the open market, judging by the deals netted by top slot men Wes Welker and Danny Amendola. The Giants also have to think about re-signing Hakeem Nicks after next season, but the company line on Cruz is that a long-term contract remains a priority.