Three-round 2019 NFL mock draft 1.0: Kyler Murray to Broncos

My first mock of the year is a reflection of the draft stock for top-100-level prospects after the all-star game circuit and before the NFL Scouting Combine (March 1-4 on NFL Network).

Teams will set their own draft boards before heading to the combine so that they attach values to players before the athletic testing begins. While the combine results are an important part of the evaluation process, establishing a grade for players based on their game tape is key, lest those fast 40-yard dashes supersede what we've seen from guys during their college careers.

The 95 selections listed here (the Giants used their third-round selection on former Western Michigan cornerback Sam Beal in the 2018 supplemental draft) take into account team needs prior to free agency, as well as the talent of the prospects. Free agency, which begins on March 13, will obviously alter the outlook for team needs.

Pick
1
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
2019
Nick Bosa
Ohio State · DE

School: Ohio State | Year: Junior

Best player. No. 1 pick. Pretty simple.

Pick
2
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
Quinnen Williams
Alabama · DT

School: Alabama | Year: Sophomore (RS)

It might be a tough call here between Williams and Kentucky's Josh Allen. DeForest Buckner's versatility could allow the team to put Buckner and Williams on the field at the same time.

Pick
3
New York Jets
New York Jets
Josh Allen
Kentucky · EDGE

School: Kentucky | Year: Senior

Allen's the pass rusher the Jets have long sought.

Pick
4
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders
Rashan Gary
Michigan · DE

School: Michigan | Year: Junior

The Raiders have to address their pass rush -- they recorded a league-low 13 sacks in 2018 after trading Khalil Mack.

Pick
5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Josh Jacobs
Alabama · RB

School: Alabama | Year: Junior

I expect the Bucs to move down from this spot, eventually picking Bruce Arians' new David Johnson.

Pick
6
New York Giants
New York Giants
Dwayne Haskins
Ohio State · QB

School: Ohio State | Year: Sophomore (RS)

Haskins and Saquon Barkley together would be fun to watch.

Pick
7
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
Drew Lock
Missouri · QB

School: Missouri | Year: Senior

Lock has been inconsistent, but so was Josh Allen -- the seventh overall pick last year -- coming out of college.

Pick
8
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
Clelin Ferrell
Clemson · DE

School: Clemson | Year: Junior (RS)

Replacing Ziggy Ansah, who's expected to depart in free agency, is a must for Detroit.

Pick
9
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
Jawaan Taylor
Florida · T

School: Florida | Year: Junior

Taylor steps in to help protect second-year quarterback Josh Allen.

Pick
10
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
Kyler Murray
Oklahoma · QB

School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior (RS)

Picking behind at least two teams with quarterback needs, John Elway will have to either trade up to land his guy or take whichever top signal-caller is available at No. 10 if he wants to improve the Broncos' QB situation via the draft.

Pick
11
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals
Greedy Williams
LSU · CB

School: LSU | Year: Sophomore (RS)

The Bengals pick a corner after ranking dead last in pass defense last season. Plus, Darqueze Dennard is due to hit free agency this offseason, and will Dre Kirkpatrick become a salary-cap casualty?

Pick
12
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
Montez Sweat
Mississippi State · EDGE

School: Mississippi State | Year: Senior

Sweat fills a void by adding strength and agility off the edge.

Pick
13
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
Daniel Jones
Duke · QB

School: Duke | Year: Junior (RS)

The Dolphins will probably look to move on from Ryan Tannehill. Jones received a first-round grade from the NFL College Advisory Committee.

Pick
14
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
Jeffery Simmons
Mississippi State · DT

School: Mississippi State | Year: Junior

Simmons is a beast in the middle. Keep in mind: Falcons DTs Grady Jarrett and Terrell McClain are due to hit the market this offseason.

Pick
15
Washington Football Team
Washington Football Team
Jonah Williams
Alabama · OT

School: Alabama | Year: Junior

Washington could play Williams at guard or tackle.

Pick
16
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
Devin White
LSU · LB

School: LSU | Year: Junior

Thomas Davis will not return to the Panthers in 2019, leaving a void at LB. Could the talented White fall to the middle of the first round like Tremaine Edmunds did last year?

Pick
17
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
Christian Wilkins
Clemson · DT

School: Clemson | Year: Senior

If the quarterbacks don't go early in Round 1, Wilkins will probably be off the board before this pick. However, if there's an early run on passers, there will be some bargains, like Wilkins at No. 17.

Pick
18
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
Ed Oliver
Houston · DT

School: Houston | Year: Junior

Oliver's lack of size and length will hurt his stock, but this pick will ultimately prove to be a steal.

Pick
19
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
T.J. Hockenson
Iowa · TE

School: Iowa | Year: Sophomore (RS)

Luke Stocker is due to become a free agent and Delanie Walker is coming off a severe ankle injury, so Tennessee goes with a tight end here.

Pick
20
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
Marquise Brown
Oklahoma · WR

School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior

If Antonio Brown ultimately does not return to the Steelers in 2019, "Hollywood" Brown's similar skill set will be needed in Pittsburgh.

Pick
21
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
Trayvon Mullen
Clemson · CB

School: Clemson | Year: Junior

Mullen, a good value here, brings needed depth to the Seahawks' secondary, especially if Justin Coleman leaves as a free agent.

Pick
22
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
Johnathan Abram
Mississippi State · S

School: Mississippi State | Year: Senior

Abram will fill in nicely for Eric Weddle if the team decides to part ways with the veteran this offseason.

Pick
23
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
Andre Dillard
Washington State · T

School: Washington State | Year: Senior (RS)

Dillard should remind fans of former Texans OT Duane Brown, a first-round pick 11 years ago.

Pick
24
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders
Deandre Baker
Georgia · CB

School: Georgia | Year: Senior

Free agency could leave the cupboard pretty bare for Oakland at cornerback, so Baker lands here to fill the void.

Pick
25
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
Dexter Lawrence
Clemson · DT

School: Clemson | Year: Junior

If Haloti Ngata, who's due to become a free agent, doesn't return, Lawrence would be a good replacement.

Pick
26
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
Kelvin Harmon
N.C. State · WR

School: N.C. State | Year: Junior

The Colts need a big-bodied receiver to complement T.Y. Hilton.

Pick
27
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders
Nasir Adderley
Delaware · S

School: Delaware | Year: Senior

Adderley's toughness and coverage skills are earning him first-round grades.

Pick
28
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
Dalton Risner
Kansas State · T

School: Kansas State | Year: Senior (RS)

New England exposed the right side of the Chargers' O-line in the Divisional Round. Risner can help keep Philip Rivers upright.

Pick
29
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
Jachai Polite
Florida · EDGE

School: Florida | Year: Junior

Dee Ford is due to hit the market, so there might be a spot for Polite in Kansas City.

Pick
30
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
Elijah Holyfield
Georgia · RB

School: Georgia | Year: Junior

This guy is the Real Deal (a nickname that belongs to his famous father, Evander). New HC Matt LaFleur wants to run -- and Aaron Jones, the Packers' leading rusher last season, has had three knee injuries in two seasons.

Pick
31
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
Jaylon Ferguson
Louisiana Tech · EDGE

School: Louisiana Tech | Year: Senior (RS)

Ferguson would be a good fit if the Rams lose Dante Fowler Jr. in free agency.

Pick
32
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
Byron Murphy
Washington · CB

School: Washington | Year: Sophomore (RS)

The Patriots address cornerback with Jason McCourty and Eric Rowe due to become free agents this offseason.

Follow Chad Reuter on Twitter @chad_reuter.

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