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Picking Championship Sunday's winners

Conventional wisdom went 1-3 last weekend. Conventional wisdom is terrible at picking NFL games. So am I.

No one expected the Baltimore Ravens to win on the road against the Denver Broncos. No one, including yours truly, has any belief that the Atlanta Falcons are a Super Bowl team.

Conventional wisdom says the Ravens and Falcons will lose this week. Last week was a reminder that conventional wisdom is usually unwise.

-- Gregg Rosenthal

* Based on nobility.
** Only person to pick a game right.

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