Landing a head-coaching job in the NFL is hard. Holding onto the thing is damn near impossible.
We see it every year. January rolls around and the NFL initiates a sideline reboot. This past season, eight head coaches were fired during or immediately after the regular season. It was the third time this decade we saw a full quarter of the league's coaches let go. The turnover is staggering, especially when you remember just how many people are affected by the dismissals.
It is with no joy that we report the same thing will happen again in less than five months. More turnover is coming. We can pretend this is the year every front office in the league decides to resist change. But the reality? Recent history tells us six, seven, maybe eight coaching staffs will be kicked to the curb by New Year's Eve.
Tough gig. Great money. Solid perks. But tough gig.
With that in mind, let's survey the NFL landscape in an effort to discern which coaches are the safest and which coaches are in the most danger in this highly unpleasant game of musical chairs. Keep in mind, this is not a prediction of how the 2019 season will go for the coaches and teams found below. Instead, look at it as a survey of their footing as they begin a new journey.
I've organized all 32 coaches in tiers of security. If the first one isn't obvious, you should probably lose your job.
SAFER THAN A UNION DOCK WORKER WITH CONNECTIONS
These guys aren't going anywhere. You hear me? Find your intrigue elsewhere.
FEELING GOOD, FEELING SECURE, LIFE IS GOOD
The sky above is blue and the sun is shining bright. Hey, is that a storm cloud in the deep distance? Nah, can't be.
We'll keep all the first-time head coaches in the same group, because typically there is ample runway in this situation. "Typically," grumbles Steve Wilks.
SEAT PERHAPS WARMER THAN PREFERRED
If you're in this group, there's some reason for concern. Maybe not "Put the house on the market right now, honey!" concern, but concern nonetheless. Head on a swivel.