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2020 NFL Draft order: Broncos inch toward top 5; Lions in top 10

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This is a look at the first-round order for the 2020 NFL Draft heading into Week 12, along with the top three needs for each team. The order is determined by record, using strength of schedule as the first tiebreaker (click here to see a full list of the draft-order tiebreakers). Keep in mind -- teams 21-32 would make the playoffs if the season ended today and are marked as PL (short for playoffs) in the order below. The draft order for playoff teams is determined by the results of postseason play.

The outlook for the 2020 NFL Draft grew murkier over the weekend even though there was no movement at the top of the draft order.

The Bengals are still in the driver's seat for the No. 1 overall pick with six more opportunities to move down the board via a surprise lane change that could lead to league-wide rubbernecking. However, the injury to Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa creates more uncertainty about what the future holds for the Crimson Tide star. It also seems to make the value of the top pick even greater for Cincinnati and its fellow QB-needy teams now that one of college's football's top QB prospects has to decide whether to return for his senior season or enter the draft coming off major surgery. Barring a surprise victory down the stretch, the Bengals may ultimately be choosing between picking red-hot LSU senior QB Joe Burrow, the draft's best non-QB or trading the pick.

Now, the needs for each team listed below offer just a snapshot of the areas that project to require the most attention as of today. Draft needs for NFL teams don't crystallize until the spring, after free agency plugs some holes and creates others, but we are firm believers that it's not too soon to see what might be coming around the corner.

The order and needs will evolve as we go along. Stay tuned. It's going to be a rather inglorious ride.

Arrows indicate how far up or down a team has moved relative to last week.

PICK

1

Bengals

Record: 0-10 (.639 strength of schedule)
Previous week: No. 1
This week's game: vs. Steelers
Biggest needs: QB, OL, LB

Thanks to their defense, the Bengals got back to being competitive on Sunday. But this franchise still is destined for its first season with more than 10 losses since a 4-12 2010 campaign, which preceded the selections of Andy Dalton, whose replacement -- Ryan Finley -- is looking very backup-like through two NFL starts in an unenviable situation.

PICK

2

Redskins

Record: 1-9 (.545)
Previous week: No. 2
This week's game: vs. Lions
Biggest needs: OL, CB, pass catcher

Getting thumped by the 2-7 Jets at home after having a bye week to prepare? Let there be no doubt: The Redskins are still in the race for the No. 1 overall pick for a reason. Washington looks like it could use help across the board, but for now, we're sticking with left tackle as Need No. 1 even though the secondary got shredded by Sam Darnold.

PICK

3

Giants

Record: 2-8 (.490)
Previous week: No. 3
This week's game: at Bears
Biggest needs: OT, edge rusher, DB

I know a lot of folks point to wide receiver as a pressing need for the Giants, who who haven't won a game since September. To me, that position is a luxury compared with the three areas listed above. A true WR1 would be nice, but riding with a pass-catching corps of Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard, Evan Engram and Darius Slayton for another year might be the way the team goes.

PICK

4

Dolphins

1

Record: 2-8 (.554)
Previous week: No. 5
This week's game: at Browns
Biggest needs: QB, OT, edge rusher

This group came back down to Earth against the Bills after winning two in a row, but Sunday went perfectly for Dolphins fans rooting for the best possible draft positioning next year. Miami lost, and so did the teams -- the Texans and Steelers -- who traded their 2020 first-rounders to the Fins. It's the first time all three teams have lost in the same weekend since Week 1.

PICK

5

Jets

1

Record: 3-7 (.490)
Previous week: No. 4
This week's game: vs. Raiders
Biggest needs: OL, edge rusher, CB

Similar to their MetLife Stadium cohabitants, the Jets could use a WR1, but ... first things first. The three spots mentioned above are the more pressing needs, none more so than the O-line. Only the Dolphins and Titans have allowed more sacks this season, and it's going to be hard for Sam Darnold to get the ball to a WR1 if Gang Green doesn't have guys who can block for him.

PICK

6

Broncos

1

Record: 3-7 (.544)
Previous week: No. 7
This week's game: at Bills
Biggest needs: Interior D-line, OL, DB

Rough day for the Denver secondary, one of the main culprits in the team's collapse against the Vikings. Kirk Cousins had just 6 incompletions on Sunday, and only one of them came on a breakup by a defensive back. Impending free agent CB Chris Harris Jr. is having the worst season of his career, per Pro Football Focus' grades.

PICK

7

Buccaneers

1

Record: 3-7 (.589)
Previous week: No. 8
This week's game: at Falcons
Biggest needs: QB, OL, DB

As you may have heard, Jameis Winston has trouble taking care of the ball. That's no one's fault but his own. However, it can't help matters that he plays behind a leaky offensive line, one that allowed 12 QB hits against the Saints on Sunday. Better blocking -- and better QB play -- should be the leading priorities for the Bucs this offseason, who also need to establish a running game they can trust (RBs had a total of six carries vs. New Orleans).

PICK

8

Falcons

2

Record: 3-7 (.593)
Previous week: No. 6
This week's game: vs. Buccaneers
Biggest needs: Edge rusher, DB, OL

I guess Dan Quinn should have shaken up his staff even earlier. The Falcons have done a complete reversal since he moved Raheem Morris from offense to defense, blowing out division foes in consecutive weeks. In fact, Atlanta has more sacks (11) in its last two games than it did in its first eight games this season (7). I'm not moving edge rusher off the top of the needs list, though, with Vic Beasley and Adrian Clayborn (4 sacks apiece; tied for second on the team) headed for free agency.

PICK

9

Cardinals

1

Record: 3-7-1 (.532)
Previous week: No. 10
This week's game: On bye
Biggest needs: OL, defensive playmaker, pass catcher

Protecting the franchise -- a.k.a. Kyler Murray -- leads the to-do list now and for as long as he's the Cardinals' QB1. However, a close second is figuring out how to fix a pass defense that is the league's worst.

PICK

10

Lions

1

Record: 3-6-1 (.514)
Previous week: No. 11
This week's game: at Redskins
Biggest needs: CB, OL, edge rusher

Time to reassess the ol' defensive strategy. The Lions now rank 27th in points allowed per game (27.2) and 30th in yards allowed per game (412.8). Matt Patricia's unit could muster only one sack on an afternoon in which Dak Prescott dropped back to pass 49 times.

PICK

11

Chargers

1

Record: 4-7 (.500)
Previous week: No. 12
This week's game: On bye
Biggest needs: OL, QB, CB

After 7 INTs in two weeks -- both losses that easily could have been wins with fewer turnovers -- QB moves up a notch on the needs list. Philip Rivers seems to be crumbling before our eyes.

PICK

12

Jaguars

1

Record: 4-6 (.485)
Previous week: No. 13
This week's game: at Titans
Biggest needs: CB, front-seven playmaker, OL

Jacksonville needs to figure out how to stop the bleeding vs. the run right quick with a matchup against Derrick Henry up next. The Jaguars are the only team in the NFL to allow 250-plus rush yards and 3-plus rush TDs in a game this season and they have done so twice (Sunday vs. the Colts and Week 5 vs. the Panthers).

PICK

13

Raiders (via Bears)

1

Bears' record: 4-6 (.515)
Previous week: No. 14
This week's Bears game: vs. Giants

The Raiders acquired this pick in the Khalil Mack trade. See No. 19 for the Raiders' needs and the bottom section of this file for analysis of the Bears' needs.

PICK

14

Browns

5

Record: 4-6 (.630)
Previous week: No. 9
This week's game: vs. Dolphins
Biggest needs: OT, S, interior OL

Long-term, the offensive line's deficiencies must be addressed, but we'll give the group credit: It allowed only one sack on Thursday night to the Steelers, who were averaging 4.0 per game since Week 3. Cleveland's front five gets a chance to look good again next week against a Dolphins team that ranks last in the league in sacks.

PICK

15

Titans

Record: 5-5 (.451)
Previous week: No. 15
This week's game: vs. Jaguars
Biggest needs: QB, OL, RB

The needs feel in flux here. Will Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry both be back? What about Logan Ryan and Jack Conklin? All of them are due to hit the market in 2020, but Tennessee is projected to have more salary-cap flexibility than most teams.

PICK

16

Panthers

3

Record: 5-5 (.500)
Previous week: No. 19
This week's game: at Saints
Biggest needs: DB, OL, DL

It might not turn out to be as bad as last season's collapse -- when Carolina went 1-7 in its final eight games -- but the Panthers seem to be in line for a similarly ugly stumble to the finish line. Ron Rivera's crew has dropped three of four, with a 29-3 drubbing at the hands of the suddenly hot Falcons serving as the latest ominous signal of what lies ahead.

PICK

17

Eagles

Record: 5-5 (.520)
Previous week: No. 17
This week's game: vs. Seahawks
Biggest needs: DB, edge rusher, WR

As NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah mentioned in a tweet on Sunday, the Eagles need to add speed to their roster in the offseason. The team's lack of it at wide receiver is glaring with DeSean Jackson sidelined.

PICK

18

Dolphins (via Steelers)

4

Steelers' record: 5-5 (.554)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's Steelers game: at Bengals

The Dolphins acquired this pick in the Minkah Fitzpatrick trade. See No. 4 for the Dolphins' needs and the bottom section of this file for analysis of the Steelers' needs.

PICK

19

Raiders

1

Record: 6-4 (.481)
Previous week: No. 20
This week's game: at Jets
Biggest needs: CB, WR, edge rusher

It certainly was no issue against the hapless Bengals passing game on Sunday, but the corner position figures to require Mike Mayock's attention this offseason. Gareon Conley was sent packing before the trade deadline and the team's top corner, Daryl Worley, is ticketed for free agency.

PICK

20

Jaguars (via Rams)

2

Rams' record: 6-4 (.490)
Previous week: No. 18
This week's Rams game: vs. Ravens

The Jaguars acquired this pick in the Jalen Ramsey trade. See No. 12 for the Jaguars' needs and the bottom section of this file for analysis of the Rams' needs.

PICK

PL

Cowboys

Record: 6-4 (.421)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: at Patriots
Biggest needs: DB, pass catcher, DL

The Cowboys don't have a win over a team that currently has a winning record, and they've lost to all three of the winning teams they've faced ( Saints, Packers and Vikings). They get another chance to deal a blow to the can't beat the good teams narrative on Sunday in Foxborough, but it's probably going to take a better defensive showing than we've seen from them in the last couple weeks.

PICK

PL

Colts

6

Record: 6-4 (.441)
Previous week: No. 16
This week's game: at Texans
Biggest needs: DL, DB, pass catcher

The impending free agency of left tackle Anthony Castonzo looms large, but he continues to play well and the Colts will have plenty of salary-cap flexibility this offseason. It would seem an easy choice to bring him back. As for the team's 2020 NFL Draft plans, a disruptive interior D-lineman would be a nice weapon for Matt Eberflus to unleash.

PICK

PL

Dolphins (via Texans)

Texans' record: 6-4 (.539)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's Texans game: vs. Colts

The Dolphins acquired this pick in the Laremy Tunsil trade. See No. 4 for the Dolphins' needs and the bottom section of this file for analysis of the Texans' needs.

PICK

PL

Chiefs

Record: 7-4 (.549)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: On bye
Biggest needs: CB, LB, OG

This defense is still pretty Swiss cheese-like, but if the opposing QB throws the ball to them, they will catch it, as Monday night proved. They won't see such inefficiency the next couple times out, though (vs. Raiders, at Patriots).

PICK

PL

Bills

Record: 7-3 (.330)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: vs. Broncos
Biggest needs: WR, CB, DE

The Buffalo defense continues to play good ball, but there will be some big questions facing this unit in the offseason. Can they upgrade at corner opposite Tre'Davious White, and who will be helping Jerry Hughes get after the passer with leading sacker Jordan Phillips and former first-round pick Shaq Lawson set to become free agents?

PICK

PL

Vikings

Record: 8-3 (.437)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: On bye
Biggest needs: OL, DB, DL

The Vikings had their issues against the Broncos' passing game on Sunday, but escaped mostly unscathed thanks to Denver's second-half disappearing act. A much more difficult test for the wobbly Minnesota secondary awaits coming out of the bye in the form of MVP candidate Russell Wilson and Co.

PICK

PL

Ravens

Record: 8-2 (.436)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: at Rams
Biggest needs: Edge rusher, ILB, interior OL

The needs are unchanged here for now, but what a job Don "Wink" Martindale has done with his pass rush. The Ravens had 7 sacks in the first four games combined. They had 7 sacks on Sunday alone in a rout of the Texans. Just the Niners and Patriots have allowed a lower passer rating this season than Baltimore's 79.5, even though Martindale's crew has gone up against the likes of Russell Wilson, Tom Brady and Deshaun Watson in the past month.

PICK

PL

Saints

Record: 8-2 (.460)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: vs. Panthers
Biggest needs: WR, interior OL, QB

Michael Thomas receptions in 2019: 94. Rest of Saints WRs combined: 32. It's kind of wild to think that no defensive coordinator has figured out a plan this season to take Thomas away and make a different Saints wide receiver step up. Someone is going to do that eventually, right?

PICK

PL

Seahawks

Record: 8-2 (.490)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: at Eagles
Biggest needs: DB, DL, OL

Hopefully the Seahawks put the bye week to good use. They only have one game remaining against a team that's currently below .500, and three of their next four are on the road. Then again, Seattle has won five of its last six coming off the bye, and it's 5-0 on the road this season.

PICK

PL

Packers

Record: 8-2 (.500)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: at 49ers
Biggest needs: OT, pass catcher, ILB

Davante Adams has missed four games this season -- 40 percent of the Packers' contests in 2019 (yes, I did that math all by myself) -- and there still isn't a Green Bay wide receiver within 15 catches of his team-leading 39. That's just wrong. Brian Gutekunst has to find Aaron Rodgers a target he can trust opposite Adams this offseason.

PICK

PL

49ers

Record: 9-1 (.382)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: vs. Packers
Biggest needs: DB, OL, WR

Yes, San Francisco has played the second-easiest schedule in the league to date, but its SOS is about to skyrocket. Next three games: vs. the Packers, at the Ravens and at the Saints. Those three teams have a combined record of 24-6. Meat. Grinder.

PICK

PL

Patriots

Record: 9-1 (.400)
Previous week: Playoffs
This week's game: vs. Cowboys
Biggest needs: TE, OL, S

The defense bounced back against the Eagles, but the offense continues to struggle. Tom Brady -- who was 0 for 5 on deep passes and didn't throw for a TD -- was sacked only once, but Philly was credited with 6 QB hits and 6 tackles for loss one game after the Ravens had 10 QB hits vs. New England. Defenses are spending a lot of time in the Pats' backfield, and that's a disturbing trend for this O-line.

TEAMS WITHOUT A FIRST-ROUND PICK

Chicago Bears (4-6)

Biggest needs: QB, DB, OG

A hip injury -- later revealed to be a hip pointer -- affected Mitchell Trubisky in the second half of Sunday's loss to the Rams before he was removed from the game late in the fourth quarter, Matt Nagy said. Unfortunately, I'm not sure there are many Bears fans that would tell you the results would have been different if Trubisky had been completely healthy. Sunday marked his fourth game this season with fewer than 5 yards per attempt (most in the NFL).

Houston Texans (6-4)

Biggest needs: Edge rusher, OL, CB

Who's going to step up to get after the QB with J.J. Watt sidelined? No Texan was up to the task on Sunday, when Lamar Jackson torched the Houston D. Barring a breakthrough from someone in the next six weeks, it's a question that will follow the team into the offseason, when Whitney Mercilus is due to hit the market.

Los Angeles Rams (6-4)

Biggest needs: OL, edge rusher, DB

Jared Goff had to chuck the rock just 18 times (a career-low in attempts) to put the Bears away, so Sunday night wasn't the most intensive test for the Rams' O-line. But hey, any sign of improvement (the use of play-action helped, too) is welcome from Los Angeles' pass protection, which kept Goff upright vs. Khalil Mack and Co. Can the Rams keep it going against the red-hot Ravens next week?

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5)

Biggest needs: Edge rusher, pass catcher, OL

The O-line must stay on the radar here after Pittsburgh allowed seven sacks in the past two games, including a season-high four with 11 QB hits in the loss to the Browns. Adding to the concerns around the front five in the short-term is the fact that Maurkice Pouncey has been suspended for three games. The good news is that it will get a chance to bounce back against the Bengals next week before a rematch with Cleveland.

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