Super Bowl LIV analyst predictions: Will Chiefs or 49ers win in Miami?

Can Kyle Shanahan deliver a sixth Lombardi Trophy to the San Francisco 49ers? Will Kansas City Chiefs coach Andy Reid finally get the one thing that's eluded him, a Super Bowl ring? Which players will seize the spotlight shining on Hard Rock Stadium in Miami? Our analysts provide their predictions for Super Bowl LIV.

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) -- operating one of the best offenses of all time -- will have the ball last in an epic shootout and he will march Kansas City down the field for the go-ahead score. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' defense will allow more than 400 yards of offense. 

Kansas City Chiefs 27, San Francisco 49ers 24

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** The 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' great defense can only hold off 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) for so long, leading to Andy Reid finally winning his first 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl). 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' defensive front won't be able to get to Mahomes fast enough to prevent him from going downfield. 

San Francisco 49ers 35, Kansas City Chiefs 24

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** The 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' pass rush will be too much for 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) and the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC)' offense. Couple a strong defensive performance with a dominant run game, and the 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) are poised to control the clock after getting an early lead. 
**MVP:** 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The most 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) has been sacked in a game this season is four times. On Sunday, the 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' vaunted unit gets to him five times. 

Kansas City Chiefs 37, San Francisco 49ers 34

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** Kansas City's vertical passing game will get behind the 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' defense too often in a game where San Francisco largely controls the clock. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** This time, it's Kyle Shanahan's team that comes back from a 28-3 deficit ... only to give up a game-winning touchdown drive to Mahomes in the end. 

San Francisco 49ers 28, Kansas City Chiefs 24

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** Their front four controls the line of scrimmage, and their up-tempo offense is too much for the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC)' D to handle. 
**MVP:** 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** San Francisco's secondary limits big plays while its D-line handles things up front, limiting 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) to fewer than 250 yards passing. 

Kansas City Chiefs 31, San Francisco 49ers 24

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** I have three rules when it comes to selecting winners: 1) Never pick against Brady; 2) Never pick against LeBron; 3) Never pick against Mahomes. 
**MVP:** 
[Travis Kelce](/player/traviskelce/2540258/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC)' defense takes advantage of at least one of the handful of inevitable Garoppolo misfires, giving Mahomes and Co. an extra possession in a critical moment. Jimmy G's underwhelming performance on the sport's biggest stage leads the cap-crunched Niners to cut ties with the 28-year-old passer this offseason, freeing up 
[$22.4 million](https://overthecap.com/player/jimmy-garoppolo/3001/) in valuable space. 

San Francisco 49ers 31, Kansas City Chiefs 27

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** Simple: The 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) are the more complete team. 
**MVP:** 
[George Kittle](/player/georgekittle/2558266/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** San Francisco will have as many touchdowns passing as rushing. 

Kansas City Chiefs 35, San Francisco 49ers 31

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** Andy Reid's offense is so explosive, and the touchdown-to-checkdown approach guarantees the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will put up plenty of points. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** Mahomes doesn't get sacked in the game. 

Kansas City Chiefs 31, San Francisco 49ers 27

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) is about to have his 
[Aaron Rodgers](/player/aaronrodgers/2506363/profile) moment. As good as the 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' defense is, Mahomes won't be stopped in this situation. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Nick Bosa](/player/nickbosa/2562629/profile) won't have a sack in this game. 

San Francisco 49ers 42, Kansas City Chiefs 41

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** No one has been able to stop Kyle Shanahan's rushing attack, and this game will be no different. For the second straight game, former undrafted free-agent signee 
[Raheem Mostert](/player/raheemmostert/2553728/profile) is the star of the show. 
**MVP:** 
[Raheem Mostert](/player/raheemmostert/2553728/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) throws more interceptions than 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile). 

San Francisco 49ers 36, Kansas City Chiefs 30 (OT)

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** While you read this, Kyle Shanahan is tucked away in a Miami-based lair drawing up a fleet of trick plays set to befuddle the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC). Look for the Niners to unfurl three huge gains off trickery during a feverish second-half comeback. 
**MVP:** 
[Deebo Samuel](/player/deebosamuel/2562721/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** Dealt with the cruelest of fates, 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) never sees the field during a white-knuckle overtime period in which the Niners melt eight-plus minutes off the clock before 
[Deebo Samuel](/player/deebosamuel/2562721/profile) ends 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) LIV with a dazzling circus catch in the back corner of the end zone. 

Kansas City Chiefs 42, San Francisco 49ers 38

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** Even a defense as good as the 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' unit won't be able to keep up with the speed of the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC)' offense. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) out-rush the 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)' multi-faceted backfield. 

Kansas City Chiefs 34, San Francisco 49ers 21

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** What happens when the unstoppable force meets the immovable object? In today's NFL, the unstoppable force keeps moving. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** In an aerial assault on San Francisco's top-ranked pass defense, Kansas City's leading receiver is neither 
[Tyreek Hill](/player/tyreekhill/2556214/profile) nor 
[Travis Kelce](/player/traviskelce/2540258/profile). 

Kansas City Chiefs 27, San Francisco 49ers 17

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) is too good, even for a defense as potent as the 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF)'. And I'm not backing off my 
[preseason prediction](http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001044732/article/super-bowl-liv-predictions-saints-chiefs-on-collision-course) of Kansas City capturing the Lombardi now. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile)'s uninspiring performance will lead to questions, both from outside 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) headquarters and within, about whether San Francisco should be in the quarterback market this offseason. 

Kansas City Chiefs 41, San Francisco 49ers 35 (OT)

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** Obviously the focus will be on 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) and what he will be able to do against this vaunted 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) defense. But Mahomes hasn't done it alone. 
[Damien Williams](/player/damienwilliams/2550512/profile) has been great with nine scrimmage touchdowns in five playoff games. 
[Travis Kelce](/player/traviskelce/2540258/profile) and 
[Tyreek Hill](/player/tyreekhill/2556214/profile) are one of the best receiving duos in the game. And the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC)' defense has played well, too, which is a strange thing to point out, considering I believe this will be a high-scoring affair. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile) throws for more yards than Mahomes. 

San Francisco 49ers 24, Kansas City Chiefs 20

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** The Niners take home their first title in 25 years by relying on the run and playing a well-balanced game of keep-away. Kansas City comes close, but there will be no third postseason comeback. 
**MVP:** 
[George Kittle](/player/georgekittle/2558266/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) fails to break 250 passing yards against the league's No. 1 passing defense. The quarterback will evade rushers, but thanks to San Francisco's victory in time of possession, Mahomes won't get enough chances to exceed a mark he's smashed through in five of his last six games. 

Kansas City Chiefs 35, San Francisco 49ers 24

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** The 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) have the best quarterback in the game throwing it to some of the top players at their respective positions. How could you 
*not* roll with this crew? 
**MVP:** 
[Travis Kelce](/player/traviskelce/2540258/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** Kelce has 200 receiving yards. 

Kansas City Chiefs 38, San Francisco 49ers 34

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** When two teams are as evenly matched as the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) and 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF), the quarterback often ends up being the differentiator, so I'm giving the edge to 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile)' crew. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** Mahomes and 
[Tyreek Hill](/player/tyreekhill/2556214/profile) will connect to set a new record for longest 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) pass play, topping the 85-yard touchdown that 
[Panthers](/teams/carolinapanthers/profile?team=CAR) QB Jake Delhomme threw to Muhsin Muhammad in 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) XXXVIII -- and unlike that play, this one will win the game. 

San Francisco 49ers 42, Kansas City Chiefs 41

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** Though I actually want to watch the type of game that would seemingly favor the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC), I'm going to stick with 
[my October pick]( http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001071399/article/midseason-super-bowl-liv-predictions-patriotssaints-in-miami) as the surprise winner of a track meet -- courtesy of a monster outing by Jimmy G. 
**MVP:** 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) and Garoppolo will break the record for combined passing yards in a 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) (874, set by 
[Tom Brady](/player/tombrady/2504211/profile) and 
[Nick Foles](/player/nickfoles/2532842/profile) in 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) LII). 

Kansas City Chiefs 27, San Francisco 49ers 24

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** Unlike San Francisco's NFC opponents, the 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) can keep up with (and gain ground on) the run-happy 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF). 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) and Co. have proven they can take multiple punches in the early goings (SEE: playoff wins 
[over the Texans](http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2020011200/2019/POST19/texans@chiefs) 
[and Titans](https://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2020011900/2019/POST20/titans@chiefs)) and respond with seismic haymakers. In a back-and-forth tussle, which I anticipate, between two equally able rosters, I trust the reigning MVP in crunch time over Jimmy GQ. 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile) is responsible for three turnovers; a fullback scores the night's first touchdown; and on Kansas City's game-winning, legend-cementing drive, Mahomes, in an effort to break the tension, says to his teammates, 
["Hey, isn't that Eric Stonestreet?"](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OTlPM5EF0nw) 

Kansas City Chiefs 34, San Francisco 49ers 21

**Why the [Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) will win:** The 
[Chiefs](/teams/kansascitychiefs/profile?team=KC) have too much offensive firepower, and like we've witnessed before, Andy Reid will figure out a way to eat up Robert Saleh's unit -- man coverage or zone defense -- to win his first 
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl). 
**MVP:** 
[Patrick Mahomes](/player/patrickmahomes/2558125/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** 
[Jimmy Garoppolo](/player/jimmygaroppolo/2543801/profile) throws more picks than TDs. 

San Francisco 49ers 28, Kansas City Chiefs 24

**Why the [49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) will win:** The 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) are the best-coached team, have played at a high level all year long, and I don't think there are any obstacles or opposition they can't overcome. 
**MVP:** 
[Richard Sherman](/player/richardsherman/2495507/profile) 
**Bold prediction:** The 
[49ers](/teams/sanfrancisco49ers/profile?team=SF) put up 200-plus rush yards. 

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