One of the biggest challenges in predicting what will happen in this year's draft involves the quarterback position. Who will be the first QB off the board? That's a question we've been debating for months. However, here's a question that has me even more intrigued, especially with Tony Romo no longer a potential option for teams: How many quarterbacks will go in the first round? Will we see as few as 2? Could we see as many as 5? I reached out to 5 NFL personnel executives to get their opinion on the topic. Here are their answers.
Executive 1: 3 QBs
"I'll say 3. (Deshaun) Watson and (Mitchell) Trubisky go in some order early with a team coming back up into the late 20s to take either (Patrick) Mahomes or (Davis) Webb."
Executive 2: 4 QBs
"I'll say at least 4. I just think people will trade back into Round 1 because they're scared (of missing out)."
Executive 3: 2 QBs
"Two. Watson and Webb. I am sticking to my Webb guns. He's the second-best QB in this class. I have read the Trubisky and Mahomes buzz. Not sure if I believe it."
Executive 4: 2 QBs
"I think we're going to see 2 (QBs) go in the first -- Trubisky and Mahomes."
Executive 5: 3 QBs
"I think 3 guys will go in the first: Watson, Trubisky and Mahomes."
Summary: That's 2 votes apiece for 2 QBs and 3 QBs, and 1 vote for 4 QBs.
Conclusion: As you can see, there is very little consensus on how many quarterbacks we should expect to land in Round 1. I have 2 quarterbacks coming off the board in the first round in my latest mock draft. By the time the draft gets here, I believe we'll end up with 3 or possibly 4 quarterbacks fighting their way into the first round. The extra year on the contract for first-round picks is a big deal for teams and it makes sense for at least one of them to trade into the back end of the opening round to secure that fifth contract year.