Skip to main content
Advertising

Super Bowl LI analyst predictions: Patriots or Falcons in Houston?

Will Tom Brady and Bill Belichick notch their fifth Lombardi Trophy in New England? Can Matt Ryan and Co. win the first Super Bowl title in Falcons history? Who will steal the spotlight? Which moment will be talked about in years to come? Our analysts provide their predictions for Super Bowl LI.

**Why the Patriots will win:** As much as people talk about Atlanta's offense, the 
Patriots did 
rank third in the league in scoring at 27.6 points per game. That explosiveness and New England's experience on this stage will be problematic for the 
Falcons. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** 
Julio Jones won't be the difference maker in this game that people suspect. Bill Belichick loves to take away an opponent's strength -- and Jones is surely that for Atlanta. 

New England Patriots 31, Atlanta Falcons 27

**Why the Patriots will win:** This is subject to change, but I'm going with the 
Patriots right now. I think 
Tom Brady and Co. will take full advantage of the 
Falcons' young defense. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** Brady rushes for a touchdown. 

Atlanta Falcons 27, New England Patriots 24

**Why the Falcons will win:** 
Tevin Coleman will be the deciding factor with a game-changing play. 
**MVP:** Matt Ryan 
**Bold prediction:** There will be zero turnovers. 

New England Patriots 31, Atlanta Falcons 26

**Why the Patriots will win:** In a game with long drives, few possessions and even fewer stops, the 
Patriots defense's ability to force field goals in the red zone will be the difference. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** 
Dion Lewis will lead the 
Patriots in receiving with more than 100 yards. 

New England Patriots 24, Atlanta Falcons 21

**Why the Patriots will win:** New England's defense takes away the big plays from 
Julio Jones and contains the running of 
Devonta Freeman. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** 
Julian Edelman comes up big. 

Atlanta Falcons 31, New England Patriots 27

**Why the Falcons will win:** Though both defenses have played well throughout the playoffs, I believe this is going to be an offensive showcase. We're going to see numerous big plays downfield from both quarterbacks, but 
Matt Ryan is going to be just a tad better than 
Tom Brady. 
**MVP:** Matt Ryan 
**Bold prediction:** 
Julio Jones will have 150 receiving yards. 

New England Patriots 35, Atlanta Falcons 31

**Why the Patriots will win:** Ultimately, 
Tom Brady will have the ball last. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** 
Austin Hooper has three TDs. 

New England Patriots 34, Atlanta Falcons 28

**Why the Patriots will win:** Bill Belichick is the best coach ever, with two weeks to prepare for this juggernaut 
Falcons offense. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** X-factors 
Devin McCourty and 
LeGarrette Blount make contributions. And 
Tom Brady takes the trophy from Roger Goodell. 

Atlanta Falcons 34, New England Patriots 27

**Why the Falcons will win:** The 
Patriots love to take away a team's primary weapon. But that's hard to do when you have the panoply of options that 
Matt Ryan and the 
Falcons possess. 
**MVP:** Tevin Coleman 
**Bold prediction:** Coleman sets a record for most receiving yards by a running back in the 
Super Bowl. 

New England Patriots 34, Atlanta Falcons 24

**Why the Patriots will win:** It will be difficult for the 
Patriots' defense to hold the 
Falcons to this point total, more than a touchdown below 
their average. It's also more than a touchdown above what 
New England allows. Matt Patricia's unit has done it all season, and I don't see 
Tom Brady failing. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** Went bold 
picking Jamie Collins as MVP the last time the 
Patriots were in the 
Super Bowl. He got traded. So, bold prediction: 
Nate Solder scores a touchdown. 

New England Patriots 38, Atlanta Falcons 27

**Why the Patriots will win:** It's possible that 
Matt Ryan and the 
Falcons' offense score 30-plus points Sunday, but you better believe 
Tom Brady and Pats' offense will match Atlanta's production. Both offenses are very good, but the biggest difference in this game is the defenses. New England's D played well all season long. And although the 
Falcons' young unit has played well of late, it has too many holes to keep up with the Pats. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** 
Malcolm Butler wins it again with a last-second INT. 

Atlanta Falcons 34, New England Patriots 30

**Why the Falcons will win:** The 
Falcons have one of the best offenses of all time. They'll get the recognition they deserve after this game. 
**MVP:** Julio Jones 
**Bold prediction:** 
Matt Ryan and 
Tom Brady set a 
Super Bowl record for combined passing yards, but Ryan does just a little bit more. 

New England Patriots 34, Atlanta Falcons 21

**Why the Patriots will win:** New England had 
the No. 1 scoring defense in the regular season and held the 
Texans and 
Steelers to under 20 points the last two games. I think the 
Patriots will hold the 
Falcons far below their average. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** 
Martellus Bennett has more TDs than 
Julio Jones. 

Atlanta Falcons 30, New England Patriots 26

**Why the Falcons will win:** I've changed my mind about a thousand times on this pick. But after watching tape today, it's Atlanta. This offense looks to be the difference. 
**MVP:** Vic Beasley 
**Bold prediction:** 
Devonta Freeman and 
Tevin Coleman will each have 100-plus scrimmage yards. 

Atlanta Falcons 34, New England Patriots 30

**Why the Falcons will win:** The 
Patriots' defense is good, but hasn't been truly tested in this run to the 
Super Bowl. The 
Falcons' offense will cement its status as an all-time unit with a diverse attack that is able to just edge out 
Tom Brady in what goes down as a classic. 
**MVP:** Matt Ryan 
**Bold prediction:** Four different 
Falcons players other than 
Julio Jones score touchdowns -- though Jones puts up a memorable performance with tough, chain-moving catches and over 100 yards. 

New England Patriots 35, Atlanta Falcons 31

**Why the Patriots will win:** The 
Falcons' defense has played well of late, as evidenced by 
the near-complete shutdown of Aaron Rodgers. But give the 
Patriots that additional week to prepare, and 
Tom Brady and Co. will be able to exploit any weakness that exists. 
**MVP:** 
Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** The 
Falcons, driving late for the go-ahead score, actually try to run the ball from the 2-yard line. And are stuffed as the 
Patriots again win at the goal line. 

Atlanta Falcons 38, New England Patriots 35

**Why the Falcons will win:** Though 
Matt Ryan has mostly led the way for these 
Falcons, Atlanta will be guided on Sunday by the two-headed monster in the backfield, 
Devonta Freeman and 
Tevin Coleman. 
**MVP:** Vic Beasley 
**Bold prediction:** Beasley will have three sacks, with his third sack ending Brady's final drive. 

New England Patriots 34, Atlanta Falcons 28

**Why the Patriots will win:** This game means a lot to each organization, with 
Tom Brady trying to become the only quarterback to win five rings and 
Matt Ryan trying to bring Atlanta its first Lombardi Trophy. NRG Stadium will be rockin', and experience will net New England its fifth title. 
**MVP:** Malcom Brown 
**Bold prediction:** I think my MVP pick was bold. But Brown will get three sacks. 

Atlanta Falcons 35, New England Patriots 30

**Why the Falcons will win:** 150 combined rushing yards between the 
Falcons two lead backs and, more importantly, 90 receiving yards between them, as well. While the 
Patriots are well-equipped to handle Atlanta's passing game, something has to give. 
**MVP:** Matt Ryan 
**Bold prediction:** 
Julian Edelman has 10 catches for more than 200 receiving yards. Brady goes back to his old reliable in an effort to move the ball down the field on Dan Quinn's defense. 

New England Patriots 30, Atlanta Falcons 24

**Why the Patriots will win:** I want to say Atlanta will blow the doors off, but my gut (and history) says Brady wins. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** 
Julio Jones has three TDs, but it's still not enough. 

New England Patriots 34, Atlanta Falcons 20

**Why the Patriots will win:** Unless Atlanta's running backs can dominate on the ground (which they won't), the 
Falcons won't be able to deter 
Tom Brady's meeting with destiny. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** Lady Gaga stays fully clothed. 

New England Patriots 31, Atlanta Falcons 30

**Why the Patriots will win:** 
Matt Ryan will move the ball, but a young 
Falcons defense won't have enough to slow down 
Tom Brady in the end. TB12 leads the game-winning drive to culminate a year worthy of being chronicled in books and movies. 
**MVP:** Tom Brady 
**Bold prediction:** Ryan will throw four touchdown passes, but a missed PAT by 
Matt Bryant early in the first half will come back to haunt the 
Falcons in the end. 

This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be missing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an issue.