It was ridiculously early in the season when we started writing this MVP forecast. With six games left, the best candidates have started to solidify.
We still have reservations about putting Manning first, because the Broncos lost their three toughest games of the year, and Manning didn't play well in two of them. But his overall excellence during Denver's five-game winning streak has been too hard to ignore. He might stay atop the list for a while.
Watt's pace has slowed down in recent weeks. He'll need monster games against the Detroit Lions on Thursday and the New England Patriots on "Monday Night Football" for a real chance to win. Of course, for Watt, "slowing down" meant notching eight tackles, three QB hits, two tackles for loss, one sack and a tipped pass against Jacksonville.
Eleven touchdowns and no interceptions in his past four games. A 21:3 split on the season. Some of Brady's passes up the seam against the Colts were criminal. He's taken for granted.
We're a little frightened by the thought of what Peterson will do after a week off. Running through the Bears' defense twice in four weeks would prove a point.