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NFL draft hits and misses on character risks
For all the research and tire-kicking that NFL clubs do on prospects in the months before the NFL draft, assessing those with character concerns is tricky business. Certainties are few, strikes of gold even fewer, and disappointments are plentiful.
As NFL Media analyst Mike Mayock noted on a media teleconference last week: "My perception and my experience is, plus or minus, 90 percent of the time, a kid ultimately turns into who he's always been."
The NFL draft has its share of top prospects with character concerns once again in 2015, with Florida State QB Jameis Winston -- due to in part to his standing as the presumptive No. 1 overall pick -- chief among them.
Here is a look at five NFL success stories who were drafted in the first round despite off-field concerns, and five whose NFL careers didn't meet or haven't yet met expectations.
Cynthia Frelund's Week 12 fantasy projections
My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn't you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can't find a reason not to.