What a horrible time to prognosticate games. Consider the week that was.
Who had the hapless Lions taking down the Pack at Lambeau? Which fan, base besides #ChiefsKingdom, foresaw the whuppin' (and benching) that took place in Denver? Which quarterback took down the Bengals' perfect record? T.J. Yates?
It was the worst week of picks yours truly has ever had in all my years of doing this for NFL.com. Last season, I got hot late, easily picking over twice as many right as wrong. This season? Geez, staying above .500 has been a formidable task.
Nobody does negative like Browns fans. (But fair point.)
After that Negative Nancy preamble, let's get to some Positive Perry. The picks below are winners ... all of them. Don't agree? Drop me a line. @HarrisonNFL is the place.
Now, let's get to it!
Elliot Harrison went 4-10 on his predictions for Week 10, giving him a record of 84-62 so far this season. How will he fare in Week 11? His picks are below.
**Relevant stat:** If the season ended today, Carr's 101.5 passer rating would be the second-highest in
[Raiders](/teams/oaklandraiders/profile?team=OAK) history, behind Ken Stabler's 103.4 in 1976 -- the only time to date a
[Raiders](/teams/oaklandraiders/profile?team=OAK) QB has posted a passer rating of 100-plus for the season. That '76 Oakland team went on to win the
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl).
[#OAKvsDET](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23OAKvsDET)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Fun fact:**
[Julio Jones](/player/juliojones/2495454/profile) is having a huge year, putting him on track to potentially threaten the record for receptions in a season (143). The last -- and only -- Falcon to lead the NFL in receiving yards was Alfred Jenkins, who did it with 1,358 yards 34 years ago.
[#INDvsATL](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23INDvsATL)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Fun fact:** In 10 games as a starter, Keenum's passer rating (76.8), touchdown-to-interception ratio (11:8) and yards-per-game (219.5) are all better than
[Nick Foles](/player/nickfoles/2532842/profile)' marks (75.9, 7:6, 186.4) this season.
[#STLvsBAL](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23STLvsBAL)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Not-so-fun fact:** The team leaderboard will tell you the Bucs are
[the seventh-ranked defense overall](http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=2&defensiveStatisticCategory=GAME_STATS&conference=ALL&role=OPP&season=2015&seasonType=REG&d-447263-s=TOTAL_YARDS_GAME_AVG&d-447263-o=1&d-447263-n=1) in the league. Problem is, those rankings are based on yards per game. A much more valuable metric? Points allowed per game, a category in which Tampa is
[ranked 26th](http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=2&season=2015&seasonType=REG&role=OPP&d-447263-n=1&d-447263-o=1&d-447263-p=1&conference=ALL&defensiveStatisticCategory=GAME_STATS&d-447263-s=TOTAL_POINTS_GAME_AVG).
[#TBvsPHI](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23TBvsPHI)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Historical symmetry:** It seems like forever ago, but the
[Bears](/teams/chicagobears/profile?team=CHI) and
[Broncos](/teams/denverbroncos/profile?team=DEN) played
[one of the wilder games of 2011](http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2011121111/2011/REG14/bears@broncos).
[Marion the Barbarian](http://www.nfl.com/player/marionbarber/2506447/profile) (yes, he played in Chicago)
[fumbled twice](http://www.nfl.com/videos/chicago-bears/09000d5d824fcf48/Barber-s-miscues) while
[Tebowmania spread like wildfire](http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2011121111/2011/REG14/bears@broncos#menu=gameinfo%7CcontentId%3A09000d5d824fc970&tab=recap) in a Denver OT win.
[#DENvsCHI](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23DENvsCHI)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Relevant stat:** Of the players with the most receiving touchdowns since 2012, two
[Jets](/teams/newyorkjets/profile?team=NYJ) are in the top five:
[Brandon Marshall](http://www.nfl.com/player/brandonmarshall/2495893/profile) and
[Eric Decker](/player/ericdecker/497284/profile). Let's see if
[Johnathan Joseph](/player/johnathanjoseph/2495872/profile) and company can play lights-out like they did
[in Cincy](http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2015111600/2015/REG10/texans@bengals).
[#NYJvsHOU](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23NYJvsHOU)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**[Fantasy](http://www.nfl.com/fantasyfootball) nugget:** The presence of the Carolina defense doesn't bode well for anyone starting
[Kirk Cousins](/player/kirkcousins/2532820/profile) or, really, any other Redskin. But as a fantasy owner, how do you sit
[Jordan Reed](/player/jordanreed/2540160/profile)? Tight end is often a barren wasteland in the game, and the dude has five touchdowns in his last three contests.
[#WASvsCAR](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23WASvsCAR)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Historical symmetry:** The '96 contest between Dallas and Miami was one of the most-hyped matchups of the '90s, as it pitted a
[Cowboys](/teams/dallascowboys/profile?team=DAL) team going for its fourth
[Super Bowl](http://www.nfl.com/superbowl) in five years against a
[Dolphins](/teams/miamidolphins/profile?team=MIA) squad coached by Jimmy Johnson, who had built Dallas' championship roster.
[#DALvsMIA](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23DALvsMIA)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Not-so-fun fact:** The
[Chargers](/teams/sandiegochargers/profile?team=SD) are on pace for all of 2 punt-return yards this season, which would be the fewest since 1960. As if Rivers needed a little
*less* help. #fieldposition
[#KCvsSD](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23KCvsSD)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Did you know?** The
[Vikings](/teams/minnesotavikings/profile?team=MIN) are the least-penalized team in the league ... in case you needed more evidence that Mike Zimmer is a fantastic coach.
[#GBvsMIN](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23GBvsMIN)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Key for the [Bengals](/teams/cincinnatibengals/profile?team=CIN):**
[Andy Dalton](/player/andydalton/2495143/profile)'s ability to handle the Arizona blitz packages. He's posted a staggering 118.8 passer rating against the blitz this season (though he managed a passer rating of just 76.0 against the blitz
[on Monday](http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2015111600/2015/REG10/texans@bengals)).
**Key for the [Cardinals](/teams/arizonacardinals/profile?team=ARI):** How much juice
[Chris Johnson](http://www.nfl.com/player/chrisjohnson/262/profile) and that running game will provide. Johnson ran 25 times for 58 yards in
[last week's win](http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2015111511/2015/REG10/cardinals@seahawks) over Seattle. Those are obviously not impressive numbers, but they do show Bruce Arians' commitment to the run game.
[#CINvsAZ](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23CINvsAZ)
</content:weekly-predictions>
**Relevant stat:** Rex Ryan has won a few big games over the
[Patriots](/teams/newenglandpatriots/profile?team=NE) (the 2010 Divisional Playoffs spring to mind), but for the most part, Brady has owned him. He's won 11 of 15 against Ryan-coached defenses, posting a 28:8 TD-to-INT ratio and over 280 yards per game.
[#BUFvsNE](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23BUFvsNE)
</content:weekly-predictions>
ALREADY COMPLETED
**Remember when ...**
[Charlie Whitehurst](/player/charliewhitehurst/2495974/profile)
[got the start at Jacksonville](http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2014121800/2014/REG16/titans@jaguars) last year and, bless his heart, put the
[Titans](/teams/tennesseetitans/profile?team=TEN) in position to win? Of course, it
[ended like this.](http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-game-highlights/0ap3000000445802/Sen-Derrick-Marks-game-winning-sack-and-celebration)
[#TENvsJAX](https://twitter.com/#!/search/realtime/%23TENvsJAX)
</content:weekly-predictions>
Follow Elliot Harrison on Twitter @HarrisonNFL.