Fantasy owners should be wary of Percy Harvin

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Is Peyton Manning a top-five overall pick for next season? -- @lovestosmuuch (via Twitter)

Michael Fabiano: Manning could have thrown for 500 yards and five touchdowns against the Seattle Seahawks in the Super Bowl, and to me he's still not worth a top-five pick in 2014 fantasy drafts. In fact, I wouldn't draft him in the first round. Or the second round. That's not because he's not worth it, but more a result of my own personal draft strategy of waiting on a quarterback. I would also remind fantasy owners that of the short list of quarterbacks who have thrown for 40-plus touchdowns in a single season, Drew Brees is the lone signal-caller to reach that number of passing scores again the very next season.

I'm in a PPR league and can retain either Doug Martin or A.J. Green. Thoughts? -- @t_klein11 (via Twitter)

M.F.: Green has been a star in fantasy land, posting 90-plus receptions, better than 1,300 yards and a combined 22 touchdowns in his last two seasons. He's durable, consistent and at the age of 25 a valuable asset in all formats. Martin is a youngster too, but do we know what he is after two years? He had a huge rookie campaign, but owners who drafted him in 2013 were left disappointed. He rushed for a mere 3.6 yards per carry and played in just six games due to an injured shoulder. He should bounce back in 2014, but I'd still rather keep Green ahead of Martin -- he's the safer selection at this point.

Is Percy Harvin worth keeping for a ninth-round pick for 2014? -- @JeremySchaus (via Twitter)

M.F.: Keeping Harvin for a ninth-rounder is a potential bargain. He's still very young at the age of 25, and we all know he's capable of being a No. 1 fantasy wide receiver. However, his proneness to injuries would be a concern for me if I had more durable and reliable options at the position. Remember, Harvin has missed a combined 22 games over the last two seasons due to an assortment of ailments. You also have to consider the trend of bigger-name wide receivers who have gone to Seattle in recent seasons and failed to produce big numbers, such as Sidney Rice, Deion Branch, Nate Burleson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh.

How does the addition of Kyle Shanahan as the offensive coordinator in Cleveland affect Josh Gordon? -- @codysimons22 (via Twitter)

M.F.: It doesn't hurt him, that's for sure. Shanahan knew where his bread was buttered during his time in Houston and Washington, as Andre Johnson and Pierre Garcon were among the most-targeted wide receivers in the NFL under his watch. I had Gordon ranked second at his position before the Shanahan hire, and he won't move with him calling the shots. Calvin Johnson is the lone wideout who will be taken ahead of Gordon in most 2014 drafts.

Where will Arian Foster be drafted in standard leagues next season? -- @Sil3nTSquad (via Twitter)

M.F.: Much depends on Foster's rehab and recovery after the microscopic lumbar discectomy he had in November to repair his damaged back. If he's free of setbacks, I can see Foster coming off the board in the second round as a borderline No. 1 or 2 fantasy running back. What worries me about the veteran out of Tennessee is the fact that he'd seen a monster workload heading into the 2013 campaign, which was in part to blame for his physical breakdown. We'll also need to see what the Texans do behind Foster in their backfield, as Ben Tate is a free agent and likely to leave Houston during the offseason.

In what round would you justify taking the Seattle Seahawks defense in drafts? -- @BigAndyASU (via Twitter)

M.F.: I'm not a fan of taking a defense until one of the last two rounds in fantasy drafts, and I don't see that strategy changing moving forward. With that being said, Seattle's 195 fantasy points would have ranked them as the 10th-best running back, the eighth-best wide receiver and the second-best tight end in 2013. That's pretty impressive from a pure statistical perspective. Their defense has also finished no worse than seventh in fantasy points at the position in each of the last three seasons, so I wouldn't be shocked to see this unit drafted somewhere in the middle to late rounds in 2014.

Will Marshawn Lynch continue to be a top-10 fantasy running back in 2014? -- @1legdan (via Twitter)

M.F.: Lynch's bruising running style is going to catch up with him at some point, but I think he has one more productive season in him. He'll be 28 at the start of the 2014 campaign, and neither Robert Turbin nor Christine Michael looks like a major threat to his workload. Lynch, who averaged just 170 carries in his first five NFL seasons between the Buffalo Bills and Seahawks, is a first-round lock and will remain one of the most valuable backs in fantasy land.

What are your thoughts on Knowshon Moreno moving forward? -- @6carcollision (via Twitter)

M.F.: Moreno, a free agent heading into the 2014 offseason, is a risk to become a fantasy bust if he leaves the Denver Broncos. He had been a massive statistical disappointment prior to the addition of Peyton Manning, whose presence under center is a major advantage for running backs -- just ask Edgerrin James and Joseph Addai. The Broncos have Montee Ball, C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman in their backfield stable, so Moreno leaving the Mile High City seems to be a very likely scenario. Also keep in mind that the Broncos need to be smart with Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas, both of whom are entering contract years.

Where do you rank Russell Wilson among fantasy quarterbacks for next season? Should we be eager to draft him? -- @J_MillTrash (via Twitter)

M.F.: Wilson has finished 10th and eighth among quarterbacks respectively based on fantasy points in his first two pro seasons, making him a low-end No. 1 option. Having a healthy Harvin at his disposal will be a positive, but I don't see the talented Wilson emerging into one of fantasy football's elite. He is quite a nice target for those fantasy owners who plan to wait on a quarterback, though, as Wilson figures to still be on the board after the fifth round.

Are there any sleeper tight ends that you like for 2014? -- @oneilrw (via Twitter)

M.F.: The first name that comes to mind is Ladarius Green, who showed flashes of potential last season and could see a much bigger role in San Diego in 2014. The addition of Norv Turner as the offensive coordinator in Minnesota is great news for Kyle Rudolph, who could re-emerge into a No. 1 fantasy tight end moving forward. Tyler Eifert, Zach Ertz and Levine Toilolo are also sleeper names to remember at the position for next season.

Michael Fabiano is an award-winning fantasy football analyst on NFL.com and NFL Network and a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) Hall of Fame. Have a burning question on anything fantasy related? Tweet it to @Michael_Fabiano or send a question via Facebook!

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