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Published: Nov. 13, 2019 at 02:49 p.m.

Cynthia Frelund's Week 11 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past, actual, and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn’t you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can’t find a reason not to.

18 Photos Total

  • 302 pass yards, 2 TD; 17 rush yards 18

    James Kenney/Associated Press

    1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

    302 pass yards, 2 TD; 17 rush yards

  • 244 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 58 rush yards 17

    Aaron Doster/NFL

    2. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

    244 pass yards, 2 TD, INT; 58 rush yards

  • 271 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards 16

    Ian Walton/Associated Press

    3. Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

    271 pass yards, 2 TD; 22 rush yards

  • 286 pass yards, 2 TD 15

    Perry Knotts/NFL

    4. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

    286 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 251 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards 14

    Cooper Neill/NFL

    5. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

    251 pass yards, 2 TD; 13 rush yards

  • 241 pass yards, 2 TD; 12 rush yards 13

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    Upside Pick: Kyle Allen, QB, Carolina Panthers

    241 pass yards, 2 TD; 12 rush yards

  • 135 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions 12

    /NFL

    1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

    135 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

  • 112 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions 11

    Ric Tapia/NFL

    2. Josh Jacobs, RB, Oakland Raiders

    112 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

  • 110 scrimmage yards, TD: 3 receptions 10

    Cooper Neill/NFL

    3. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

    110 scrimmage yards, TD: 3 receptions

  • 105 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions 9

    Cooper Neill/NFL

    4. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

    105 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

  • 94 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions 8

    Sean Ryan/NFL

    5. Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

    94 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

  • 80 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions 7

    Joe Robbins/Associated Press

    Upside Pick: Damian Williams, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

    80 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

  • 9 receptions, 98 yards, TD 6

    Rusty Costanza/Associated Press

    1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

    9 receptions, 98 yards, TD

  • 8 receptions, 93 yards, TD 5

    Mark Zaleski/Associated Press

    2. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

    8 receptions, 93 yards, TD

  • 7 receptions, 95 yards, TD 4

    Sean Ryan/NFL

    3. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

    7 receptions, 95 yards, TD

  • 7 receptions, 93 yards, TD 3

    Gregory Trott/Associated Press

    4. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

    7 receptions, 93 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 81 yards, TD 2

    Nick Wass/Associated Press

    5. Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots

    6 receptions, 81 yards, TD

  • 5 receptions, 71 yards, TD 1

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    Upside Pick: D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers

    5 receptions, 71 yards, TD