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Published: Sept. 18, 2019 at 04:54 p.m.
Updated: Sept. 25, 2019 at 04:21 p.m.

Cynthia Frelund's Week 3 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual and comparable data to forecast each week, but why wouldn’t you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can’t find a reason not to.

18 Photos Total

  • 289 pass yards, 2 TD; 19 rush yards 18

    Ric Tapia/NFL

    1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

    289 pass yards, 2 TD; 19 rush yards

  • 279 pass yards, 2 TD; 10 rush yards 17

    Damian Strohmeyer/Associated Press

    2. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

    279 pass yards, 2 TD; 10 rush yards

  • 234 pass yards, 2 TD; 25 rush yards 16

    Aaron M. Sprecher/Associated Press

    3. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

    234 pass yards, 2 TD; 25 rush yards

  • 288 pass yards, 2 TD 15

    Perry Knotts/NFL

    4. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

    288 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 284 pass yards, 2 TD 14

    John Amis/Associated Press

    5. Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

    284 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 281 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT 13

    Logan Bowles/NFL

    Upside Pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    281 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • 127 scrimmage yards, 2 TD; 3 receptions 12

    Mark Tenally/Associated Press

    1. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

    127 scrimmage yards, 2 TD; 3 receptions

  • 130 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions 11

    Logan Bowles/NFL

    2. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

    130 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

  • 123 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions 10

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    3. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

    123 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 receptions

  • 114 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions 9

    Peter Read Miller/Associated Press

    4. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

    114 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 receptions

  • 103 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions 8

    Gregory Trott/Associated Press

    5. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

    103 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 receptions

  • 76 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions 7

    Logan Bowles/NFL

    Upside Pick: Peyton Barber, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    76 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 receptions

  • 8 receptions, 89 yards, TD 6

    Cooper Neill/NFL

    1. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

    8 receptions, 89 yards, TD

  • 7 receptions, 87 yards, TD 5

    Rick Osentoski/Associated Press

    2. Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

    7 receptions, 87 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 91 yards, TD 4

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    3. Odell Beckham Jr, WR, Cleveland Browns

    6 receptions, 91 yards, TD

  • 7 receptions, 79 yards, TD 3

    Mike Roemer/Associated Press

    4. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

    7 receptions, 79 yards, TD

  • 5 receptions, 80 yards, TD 2

    Damian Strohmeyer/Associated Press

    5. Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys

    5 receptions, 80 yards, TD

  • 5 receptions, 64 yards, TD 1

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    Upside Pick: John Brown, WR, Buffalo Bills

    5 receptions, 64 yards, TD