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Published: Dec. 5, 2018 at 06:29 p.m.
Updated: Dec. 12, 2018 at 02:13 p.m.

Cynthia Frelund's Week 14 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn’t you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can’t find a reason not to:

18 Photos Total

  • 310 pass yards, 3 TD 18

    Mike Roemer/Associated Press

    1. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

    310 pass yards, 3 TD

  • 297 pass yards, 3 TD, INT 17

    Ben Margot/Associated Press

    2. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

    297 pass yards, 3 TD, INT

  • 299 pass yards, 2 TD 16

    Michael Ainsworth/Associated Press

    3. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

    299 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 287 pass yards, 2 TD 15

    Don Wright/Associated Press

    4. Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers

    287 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 286 pass yards, 2 TD 14

    Don Wright/Associated Press

    5. Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers

    286 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 295 pass yards, 2 TD, INT 13

    Chris O'Meara/Associated Press

    Upside pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    295 pass yards, 2 TD, INT

  • 111 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec 12

    Rey Del Rio/Associated Press

    1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

    111 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

  • 94 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec 11

    Mark LoMoglio/Associated Press

    2. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

    94 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

  • 99 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec 10

    Michael Ainsworth/Associated Press

    3. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

    99 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

  • 101 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 rec 9

    James D. Smith/Associated Press

    4. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

    101 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 rec

  • 90 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec 8

    Bill Kostroun/Associated Press

    5. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

    90 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

  • 91 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 rec 7

    Jeffrey Phelps/Associated Press

    Upside pick: David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

    91 scrimmage yards, TD; 3 rec

  • 7 receptions, 99 yards, TD 6

    Gene J. Puskar/Associated Press

    1. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

    7 receptions, 99 yards, TD

  • 7 receptions, 91 yards, TD 5

    Matt Patterson/Associated Press

    2. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

    7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 92 yards, TD 4

    Steven Senne/Associated Press

    3. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

    6 receptions, 92 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 90 yards, TD 3

    Michael Ainsworth/Associated Press

    4. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

    6 receptions, 90 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 89 yards, TD 2

    Mike Roemer/Associated Press

    5. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

    6 receptions, 89 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 78 yards, TD 1

    Gary McCullough/Associated Press

    Upside pick: T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

    6 receptions, 78 yards, TD