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Published: Nov. 14, 2018 at 02:52 p.m.
Updated: Nov. 14, 2018 at 03:28 p.m.

Cynthia Frelund's Week 11 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn’t you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can’t find a reason not to:

18 Photos Total

  • 311 pass yards, 3 TD; 15 rush yards 18

    Charlie Riedel/Associated Press

    1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

    311 pass yards, 3 TD; 15 rush yards

  • 300 pass yards, 3 TD; 10 rush yards 17

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    2. Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

    300 pass yards, 3 TD; 10 rush yards

  • 317 pass yards, 3 TD 16

    Gary Landers/Associated Press

    3. Drew Brees, QB, New Olreans Saints

    317 pass yards, 3 TD

  • 260 pass yards, 2 TD; 40 rush yard 15

    Keith Srakocic/Associated Press

    4. Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

    260 pass yards, 2 TD; 40 rush yard

  • 284 pass yards, 2 TD; 20 rush yards 14

    Jeffrey Phelps/Associated Press

    5. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

    284 pass yards, 2 TD; 20 rush yards

  • 285 pass yards, 2 TD 13

    Ric Tapia/NFL

    Upside Pick: Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

    285 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 152 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec 12

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

    152 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

  • 123 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec 11

    Gary Landers/Associated Press

    2. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

    123 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

  • 119 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec 10

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    3. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

    119 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

  • 118 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec 9

    Ben Margot/Associated Press

    4. Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

    118 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

  • 92 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec 8

    Ben Liebenberg/NFL

    5. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

    92 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

  • 77 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec 7

    Mark Zaleski/Associated Press

    Upside Pick: Dion Lewis, RB, Tennessee Titans

    77 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

  • 7 receptions, 99 yards, TD 6

    Frank Victores/Associated Press

    1. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

    7 receptions, 99 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 102 yards, TD 5

    Ryan Kang/NFL

    2. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, New York Giants

    6 receptions, 102 yards, TD

  • 7 receptions, 91 yards, TD 4

    Jack Dempsey/Associated Press

    3. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

    7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 90 yards, TD 3

    Ben Liebenberg/NFL

    4. Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

    6 receptions, 90 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 84 yards, TD 2

    Jim Mone/Associated Press

    5. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

    6 receptions, 84 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 74 yards, TD 1

    Jacob Gonzalez/NFL

    Upside Pick: Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams

    6 receptions, 74 yards, TD