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Published: Oct. 17, 2018 at 02:42 p.m.

Cynthia Frelund's Week 7 fantasy projections

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn’t you want to at least try to be as accurate as possible? I know I can’t find a reason not to:

18 Photos Total

  • 311 pass yards, 3 TD 18

    Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

    1. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

    311 pass yards, 3 TD

  • 307 pass yards, 3 TD 17

    John Bazemore/Associated Press

    2. Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

    307 pass yards, 3 TD

  • 299 pass yards, 2 TD 16

    Joe Mahoney/Associated Press

    3. Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

    299 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 332 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT 15

    Butch Dill/Associated Press

    4. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

    332 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • 281 pass yards, 2 TD 14

    Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

    5. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

    281 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 279 pass yards, 2 TD 13

    National Football League

    Upside pick: Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

    279 pass yards, 2 TD

  • 8 receptions, 108 yards, TD 12

    Bruce Kluckhohn/Associated Press

    1. Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

    8 receptions, 108 yards, TD

  • 7 receptions, 91 yards, TD 11

    John Bazemore/Associated Press

    2. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

    7 receptions, 91 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 90 yards, TD 10

    Bill Feig/Associated Press

    3. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

    6 receptions, 90 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 84 yards, TD 9

    Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

    4. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

    6 receptions, 84 yards, TD

  • 6 receptions, 80 yards, TD 8

    Brad Penner/USA TODAY Sports

    5. Odell Beckham Jr, WR, New York Giants

    6 receptions, 80 yards, TD

  • 4 receptions, 51 yards, TD 7

    John Amis/Associated Press

    Upside pick: Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    4 receptions, 51 yards, TD

  • 138 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec 6

    Joe Mahoney/Associated Press

    1. Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

    138 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

  • 104 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec 5

    Julio Cortez/Associated Press

    2. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

    104 scrimmage yards, TD; 6 rec

  • 112 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec 4

    Ron Schwane/Associated Press

    3. Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

    112 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

  • 97 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec 3

    Jim Cowsert/Associated Press

    4. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

    97 scrimmage yards, TD; 5 rec

  • 98 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec 2

    Frank Victores/Associated Press

    5. Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

    98 scrimmage yards, TD; 4 rec

  • 84 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 rec 1

    Scott Galvin/USA TODAY Sports

    Upside pick: Carlos Hyde, RB, Cleveland Browns

    84 scrimmage yards, TD; 2 rec