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Published: April 1, 2016 at 11:15 a.m.
Updated: April 1, 2016 at 02:30 p.m.

Fantasy fool's gold: Seven players to be wary of

It's April Fool's Day, so remember not to believe everything you read on the internet and be wary when opening cupboards if you live with a mischievous roommate or significant other. Playing off of this annual shenanigans-fueled holiday, I thought it'd be fitting to turn this into a fantasy exercise and look at seven players who could be considered "fool's gold" in 2016, for various reasons. Now, this doesn't mean the players below are going to be busts, but there are reasons to temper expectations if you're expecting them to repeat or are targeting them at their current ADP. Hopefully, as the offseason progresses we'll get more clarity on this bunch, but for now, here are seven players who could be fantasy fool's gold in 2016.

7 Photos Total

  • When Ivory signed with the Jaguars, it was a great move for the team, but a terrible move for fantasy football. Ivory will now be logged in a committee with T.J. Yeldon, though the former seems to have the lead in terms of goal-line and short yardage work. Last year, Yeldon only received six carries inside the 5-yard line and converted one for a touchdown (16.7 percent). Ivory on the other hand hit paydirt on five of his 18 attempts (27.8 percent). Still, <a href="http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000643560/article/caldwell-ivory-will-probably-split-carries-with-yeldon  " target="new">all signs point to these two splitting work</a>, which makes drafting either before the later rounds a risky proposition. 7

    Bill Kostroun/Associated Press

    Chris Ivory, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

    When Ivory signed with the Jaguars, it was a great move for the team, but a terrible move for fantasy football. Ivory will now be logged in a committee with T.J. Yeldon, though the former seems to have the lead in terms of goal-line and short yardage work. Last year, Yeldon only received six carries inside the 5-yard line and converted one for a touchdown (16.7 percent). Ivory on the other hand hit paydirt on five of his 18 attempts (27.8 percent). Still, all signs point to these two splitting work, which makes drafting either before the later rounds a risky proposition.

  • Now, before I get ripped to shreds by 12s in the comments, let me say I'm a fan of Angry Doug in 2016. He elevated his game to new levels, and with Russell Wilson improving as a passer the Seattle offense could be more explosive this year. However, those drafting Baldwin with the expectation that he repeats his torrid touchdown pace from a season ago could be disappointed. That being said, as long as Baldwin is selected in the right range and with the right expectations, he should be able to deliver fantasy returns. 6

    Greg Trott/Associated Press

    Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks

    Now, before I get ripped to shreds by 12s in the comments, let me say I'm a fan of Angry Doug in 2016. He elevated his game to new levels, and with Russell Wilson improving as a passer the Seattle offense could be more explosive this year. However, those drafting Baldwin with the expectation that he repeats his torrid touchdown pace from a season ago could be disappointed. That being said, as long as Baldwin is selected in the right range and with the right expectations, he should be able to deliver fantasy returns.

  • Randle might be the fool's gold-iest player in the NFL. Every once in a while we get a flash of his potential with a big game or an eye-popping touchdown. However, truth be told, Randle is just an inconsistent player. Fantasy owners would be wise to not buy into Randle's eight touchdowns last year and new one-year "prove it" contract with the Eagles. The return on your investment will be about the same as trying to pawn some actual fool's gold. 5

    Scott Boehm/Associated Press

    Rueben Randle, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

    Randle might be the fool's gold-iest player in the NFL. Every once in a while we get a flash of his potential with a big game or an eye-popping touchdown. However, truth be told, Randle is just an inconsistent player. Fantasy owners would be wise to not buy into Randle's eight touchdowns last year and new one-year "prove it" contract with the Eagles. The return on your investment will be about the same as trying to pawn some actual fool's gold.

  • Thanks to 756 receiving yards and nine total touchdowns, Woodhead managed to finish as the RB11 in standard scoring leagues. So far, no one has reached too high for Woodhead, as his offseason ADP on Fantasy Football Calculator is currently the ninth round. Still, as draft time nears, don't forget that the team is committed to getting last year's first-round pick Melvin Gordon going, which will put a cap on Woodhead's ceiling. He still makes for a nice late-round flier, especially in PPR leagues (80 catches in 2015), but nothing more. 4

    Tony Avelar/Associated Press

    Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers

    Thanks to 756 receiving yards and nine total touchdowns, Woodhead managed to finish as the RB11 in standard scoring leagues. So far, no one has reached too high for Woodhead, as his offseason ADP on Fantasy Football Calculator is currently the ninth round. Still, as draft time nears, don't forget that the team is committed to getting last year's first-round pick Melvin Gordon going, which will put a cap on Woodhead's ceiling. He still makes for a nice late-round flier, especially in PPR leagues (80 catches in 2015), but nothing more.

  • With Matt Forte now a member of the Jets, the offseason hype train for Langford is already in danger of careening off the tracks. His ADP is hovering between the second and third round depending on the site. This is all for a back who averaged 3.6 yards per carry and suffered from a case of skillet hands in the passing game. Furthermore, Langford was <a href="https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2016/02/15/fantasy-how-defensive-packages-impacted-yards-per-carry-in-2015/" target="new">the worst back in the league when running against base defenses</a>, per Mike Clay at Pro Football Focus. The Bears also don't seem to be sold on Langford as the long-term answer, as they expressed interest in C.J. Anderson before he signed an $18 million contract with the Broncos. When you add up all these factors, this certainly looks like a case of fantasy fool's gold we should follow with caution. 3

    Kim Klement/USATODAYSPORTS

    Jeremy Langford, RB, Chicago Bears

    With Matt Forte now a member of the Jets, the offseason hype train for Langford is already in danger of careening off the tracks. His ADP is hovering between the second and third round depending on the site. This is all for a back who averaged 3.6 yards per carry and suffered from a case of skillet hands in the passing game. Furthermore, Langford was the worst back in the league when running against base defenses, per Mike Clay at Pro Football Focus. The Bears also don't seem to be sold on Langford as the long-term answer, as they expressed interest in C.J. Anderson before he signed an $18 million contract with the Broncos. When you add up all these factors, this certainly looks like a case of fantasy fool's gold we should follow with caution.

  • Call it a hunch, but Ginn isn't about to catch 10 touchdowns again in 2016. Even if the Panthers offense doesn't regress from its ridiculous 2015 form, the return of Kelvin Benjamin, potential development of Devin Funchess and the presence of a possible new rookie should lower Ginn's ceiling significantly. I can't imagine many of you were planning on hitching your fantasy wagons to Ginn again, but I figured it's better to be safe than sorry and warn against his 2016 prospects. 2

    Mark J. Rebilas/USATODAYSPORTS

    Ted Ginn, WR, Carolina Panthers

    Call it a hunch, but Ginn isn't about to catch 10 touchdowns again in 2016. Even if the Panthers offense doesn't regress from its ridiculous 2015 form, the return of Kelvin Benjamin, potential development of Devin Funchess and the presence of a possible new rookie should lower Ginn's ceiling significantly. I can't imagine many of you were planning on hitching your fantasy wagons to Ginn again, but I figured it's better to be safe than sorry and warn against his 2016 prospects.

  • This pick might sound strange, as Dalton was on track to have the best season of his career in 2016 until a broken thumb cost him the final three games. However, he's suffered some pretty big losses on his offense, with coordinator Hue Jackson now coaching the Browns, Marvin Jones replacing Megatron in Detroit and Mohamed Sanu moving to Atlanta. Dalton could still turn in some solid weeks as a fantasy starter or streamer, but expecting him to repeat where he left off last year as a weekly QB1 could be a bit foolish. 1

    Gary Landers/Associated Press

    Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

    This pick might sound strange, as Dalton was on track to have the best season of his career in 2016 until a broken thumb cost him the final three games. However, he's suffered some pretty big losses on his offense, with coordinator Hue Jackson now coaching the Browns, Marvin Jones replacing Megatron in Detroit and Mohamed Sanu moving to Atlanta. Dalton could still turn in some solid weeks as a fantasy starter or streamer, but expecting him to repeat where he left off last year as a weekly QB1 could be a bit foolish.