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Tyler Wilson over Geno Smith: Surprising draft ranks

Earlier this week, I raged against the boring groupthink that takes over draft analysts during mock draft season. NFL.com draft analyst Josh Norris does not suffer from this growing disease.


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Norris has been doing a terrific job breaking down the top prospects at each position for the site, with some eye-opening rankings popping up on a near daily basis. Norris' work is great because you learn something every time you read it, and he clearly does his homework before making original evaluations. Some of the most interesting calls from the last week:

1. Norris ranked Stanford tight end Zach Ertz only fifth at the tight end position. Ertz is the consensus No. 2 tight end in the 2013 NFL Draft, but Norris questions Ertz's burst and blocking ability. Cincinnati sleeper Travis Kelce ranks second.

2. The most surprising evaluation: Norris has Arkansas' Tyler Wilson ranked first among the quarterbacks. Geno Smith ranks second, Zac Dysert third, with big names like Matt Barkley and EJ Manuel falling out of the top five.

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In a year where there is no quarterback consensus, you can be sure plenty of NFL teams have surprising ranks at quarterback, too. That's the thing that gets me about most prospect rankings. NFL teams vary far more from one another than the draftnik community consensus. Wilson's ability to deliver under pressure is why Norris ranks him so highly.

3. North Carolina's Giovani Bernard ranks second at running back. This isn't a huge surprise, but I wanted to highlight it because Bernard is so much fun to watch. He's a running back that fits perfectly into 2013 NFL offenses. Michigan State's Le'Veon Bell didn't crack the top nine.

4. Florida State's Cornellius Carradine ranks ahead of his more heralded teammate Bjoern Werner, second among all pass rushers. Coming off a torn anterior cruciate ligament, Carradine's April 20 pro day could go a long way toward getting him drafted among the top-20 selections.

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5. Georgia's Alex Ogletree fits best as a 4-3 weak-side linebacker according to Norris, not as an inside linebacker.

6. Washington cornerback Desmond Trufant ranked only sixth at his position because of his lack of physicality. Asante Samuel is laughing somewhere.

7. LSU's Eric Reid was invited to Radio City Music Hall in New York for the draft, but he didn't crack the top-10 safeties. Florida safety Matt Elam came in seventh.

Follow Gregg Rosenthal on Twitter @greggrosenthal.

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