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OT format proposal a step forward, but doesn't go far enough

  • By Vic Carucci NFL.com
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Let's acknowledge that silver, Tiffany-made elephant in the room from the start: The NFL cannot, under any circumstances, have a Super Bowl decided by the flip of a coin.

Jack Dempsey / Associated Press
There have been 445 overtime games in regular-season play -- including last season's Broncos win over the Patriots in Week 5 -- since the rule was adopted in 1974 (13 in 2009 season).
All-time results (regular-season games only)
Category
All-time
1974-1993
1994-2009
2009
Overtime games
445
201
244
13
Win % of teams that won toss
53.9%
46.8%
59.8%
53.8%
Win % of teams that lost toss
42.2%
46.8%
38.5%
46.2%
Games ended tied
3.8%
6.5%
1.6%
0%
Scoring (regular-season games only)
Category
All-time
1974-1993
1994-2009
2009
Games decided by field goal
70.1%
67.2%
72.5%
84.6%
Games decided by TD
25.6%
25.9%
25.4%
15.4%
Games ended tied
3.8%
6.5%
1.6%
0.0%

Everyone connected with the game (except, perhaps, for anyone connected with the winning team) would view it as an outrage, an embarrassment of unthinkable proportions.

The 2009 NFC Championship Game put the league uncomfortably close to that nightmare scenario when the New Orleans Saints won a coin toss and Brett Favre could only watch as the Minnesota Vikings' Super Bowl dreams ended with one swing of a kicker's leg in overtime.

That, more than anything, is what prompted the NFL's Competition Committee to do something it has rarely done since overtime's introduction in 1974: propose a change to its format that owners will consider when they gather in Orlando, Fla., for the NFL Annual Meeting beginning Sunday. The proposed format would only apply to the postseason, which is further evidence that preventing a Super-sized face full of egg is the primary reason behind the willingness to tinker with OT at all.

What the committee has in mind would enhance the chances of each team having a possession in the extra period.

That is a great first step toward addressing a problem that the NFL would desperately like to avoid. Unfortunately, it doesn't go far enough.

Under the proposal, if the team that wins the toss proceeds to score a field goal on its first drive, the other team would get the ball. And if that team also scores a field goal, the present sudden-death format would then be in place. However, if the team that wins the toss drives for a touchdown, the game is over, and the opposing offense -- like Favre and the rest of his supporting cast in the NFC title game -- would never see the field.

As long as there is still a way for the game to end on a single possession, the issue is not being thoroughly addressed.

Live on NFL Network:
NFL Network will have live coverage of the NFL Annual Meeting, including Commissioner Roger Goodell's news conference and any announcements from the Competition Committee, starting Monday.

Members of the Competition Committee are quite aware of that, and, on top of knowing that owners have a long history of opposing any alterations to overtime rules, there is considerable uncertainty within the group about the proposal's ability to draw the 24 votes necessary for passage. They will try to make their case more compelling by pointing out that, from 1974 to 1993, there was literally a 50-50 split between teams that won games after winning and losing the coin toss, but since then, OT victories have gone to clubs that win the toss 59.8 percent of the time, and to those that lose the toss 38.5 percent (note to those doing that math: the missing 1.7 percent are games that ended in a tie).

But the committee's primary concern is that anyone favoring the notion of both teams having at least one possession in overtime might not think the proposal goes far enough to ensure that will be the case. There also are multiple owners who will simply never be persuaded to change any aspect of the current OT rules, which allow for regular-season games to end in a tie and, for obvious reasons, call for postseason teams to play until there is a winner.

Overtime games in 2009 season
Week 1: Steelers 13, Titans 10 -- Steelers win toss. Logan returns kickoff 20 yards. Drive begins at Steelers 22. Jeff Reed kicks 33-yard field goal at 4:32.

Week 4: Bengals 23, Browns 20 -- Bengals win toss. Bernard Scott returns kickoff 28 yards. Drive begins on Bengals 30. Drive ends on Bengals 42. Kevin Huber punts 41 yards out of bounds. Drive begins on Browns 17. Drive ends on Browns 21. Dave Zastudil punts 55 yards. Drive begins at Bengals 24. Drive ends at Bengals 41. Huber punts 43 yards. Drive begins on Browns 16. Drive ends on Browns 27. Zastudil punts 58 yards. Quan Cosby returns punt 10 yards. Drive begins at Bengals 25. Drive ends at Bengals 31. Huber punts 49 yards. Cribbs returns 11 yards. Drive begins on Browns 31. Drive ends on Browns 49. Zastudil punts 51 yards to end zone. Drive begins on Bengals 20. Shayne Graham kicks 31-yard field goal at 14:53.

Week 5: Cowboys 26, Chiefs 20 -- Chiefs win toss. Jamaal Charles returns kickoff 19 yards. Drive begins on Chiefs 27. Drive ends on Chiefs 46. Dustin Colquitt punts 38 yards. Fair catch. Drive begins on Cowboys 16. Drive ends on Cowboys 17. Mat McBriar punts 41 yards. Bobby Wade returns 7 yards. Drive begins on Chiefs 49. Drive ends at midfield. Colquitt punts 29 yards. Fair catch. Drive begins on Cowboys 21. Tony Romo completes 60-yard touchdown pass to Miles Austin at 6:27.

Week 5: Broncos 20, Patriots 17 -- Broncos win toss. Touchback. Drive begins on Broncos 20. Matt Prater kicks 41-yard field goal at 4:45.

Week 6: Jaguars 23, Rams 20 -- Jaguars win the toss. Touchback. Drive begins on Jaguars 20. Josh Scobee kicks 36-yard field goal at 6:56.

Week 6: Bills 16, Jets 13 -- Jets win toss. Leon Washington returns kickoff 27 yards. Drive begins on Jets 29. Drive ends on Bills 32 as botched snap on attempted field goal results in interception by John Wendling. Drive starts on Bills 35. Drive ends on Bills 38. Brian Moorman punts 45 yards. Jim Leonhard returns -2 yards (holding penalty on Jets). Drive starts at Jets 8. Drive ends at Jets 12. Steve Weatherford punts 43 yards. Fair catch. Drive starts at Bills 45. Dwight Lowery intercepts Ryan Fitzpatrick's pass at Bills 47 (no return). Drive starts at Bills 47. Paul Posluszny intercepts Mark Sanchez's pass at Bills 39 and returns 3 yards. Drive starts at Bills 42. Rian Lindell kicks 47-yard field goal at 12:11.

Week 11: Giants 34, Falcons 31 -- Giants win toss. Domenik Hixon returns kickoff 33 yards. Drive begins on Giants 34. Lawrence Tynes kicks 36-yard field goal at 3:49.

Week 11: Chiefs 27, Steelers 24 -- Steelers win toss. Touchback. Drive begins on Steelers 20. Drive ends on Kansas City 38. Daniel Sepulveda punts 38 yards to end zone. Touchback. Drive begins on Chiefs 20. Ryan Succop kicks 22-yard field goal at 7:32.

Week 12: Ravens 20, Steelers 17 -- Steelers win toss. Stefan Logan returns 17 yards. Drive begins on Steelers 23. Drive ends on Steelers 37. Sepulveda punts 46 yards. Out of bounds. Drive begins on Ravens 17. Drive ends on Ravens 17. Sam Koch punts 38 yards. Fair catch. Drive begins on Steelers 45. Paul Kruger intercepts Dennis Dixon's pass at Ravens 46 and returns 28 yards. Drive begins on Steelers 28. Billy Cundiff kicks 29-yard field goal at 7:35.

Week 13: Saints 33, Redskins 30 -- Redskins win toss. Devin Thomas returns kickoff 23 yards. Drive begins on Redskins 20. Chris McAlister recovers fumble by Mike Sellers (no return). Drive begins on Redskins 37. Garrett Hartley kicks 18-yard field goal at 6:20.

Week 15: Titans 27, Dolphins 24 -- Dolphins win toss. Ted Ginn returns kickoff 23 yards. Drive begins on Dolphins 23. Michael Griffin intercepts Chad Henne's pass at Dolphins 45 and returns 3 yards. Dolphins' Greg Camarillo penalized 15 yards for unnecessary roughness. Drive begins on Dolphins 27. Rob Bironas kicks 46-yard field goal at 3:36.

Week 16: Buccaneers 20, Saints 17 -- Buccaneers win toss. Micheal Spurlock returns kick 19 yards. Drive begins at Buccaneers 23. Connor Barth kicks 47-yard field goal at 6:54.

Week 16: Bears 36, Vikings 30 -- Bears win toss. Earl Bennett returns kick 22 yards. Drive begins at Bears 32. Drive ends on Vikings 35 as Robbie Gould missed 45-yard field goal attempt. Drive begins on Vikings 35. Drive ends at Vikings 21. Chris Kluwe punts 43 yards to Bears 36. No return. Drive begins on Bears 36. Drive ends on Bears 39. Brad Maynard punts 47 yards to Vikings 14. Darius Reynaud returns 3 yards. Drive begins on Vikings 17. Adrian Peterson fumbles, Bears recover. Drive begins on Vikings 39. Jay Cutler passes deep right to Devin Aromashodu for 39 yards and touchdown at 5:39.

Wild-card playoffs: Cardinals 51, Packers 45 -- Packers win toss. Touchback. Aaron Rodgers is sacked and fumbles, recovered by Karlos Dansby for 17-yard touchdown at 1:18.

NFC Championship: Saints 31, Vikings 28 -- Saints win toss. Pierre Thomas returns kick 40 yards. Drive begins at Saints 39. Hartley kicks 40-yard field goal at 4:45.

"I can't say that I have any sense for the votes," said Atlanta Falcons president Rich McKay, co-chairman of the committee. "I think we've had probably two or three votes over the years. One was on the two-possession proposal, one was on moving the kickoff (back to the 35-yard line, where it was before being moved to the 30 in 1994). I think the two-possession proposal might have gotten 18 votes. I don't think moving the kickoff got that far.

"This doesn't mean that, as a committee, we shouldn't try to bring this or other issues up. But I don't really sense what the vote would be."

I'm all in favor of revising overtime, but would prefer to see a proposal that doesn't take a half-step toward allowing for each team to have at least one possession. Let's make that mandatory, regardless of what happens on the first series. If a team that wins the toss goes on to score a touchdown, let the other team have a chance to answer with a TD of its own. If not, game over. That would do plenty to ratchet up the drama and excitement of something that already has plenty of both.

Some have argued that, rather than focus on each team having a possession in overtime, kickoffs should simply be moved up to the 35 or even to the 40. This way, there would be more touchbacks and the team that won the toss would have a longer trek to set up a field goal. But that's hardly an iron-clad solution, which is probably why it has never been able to gain any traction within the league.

I'm not in favor of the league adopting the college overtime format, which eliminates the kickoff and essentially manufactures opportunities for both offenses to alternately be in scoring position. That is too radical a departure from how the game has been played through four quarters and gives it an awkward, scrimmage-like feel.

I also think, what is good enough for the postseason should also be good enough for the regular season. Although ties are rare under the current OT format for the regular season, let's play all NFL games until a winner is determined. The television networks (especially CBS and FOX) would hate the idea, fearing that extra-long games would wreak havoc with their prime-time Sunday programming.

However, as high as NFL TV ratings continue to soar, one has to wonder just how bad it would be for the networks to occasionally get some extended versions of the best reality program of them all.

Am I holding my breath for that to happen? No. And I'm equally skeptical about the owners adopting the playoff overtime change as it is proposed.

Other items on the meeting agenda worth noting:

» Discussions about the league's uncertain labor situation will dominate the four-day session. Owners and club executives are expected to address a wide variety of topics pertaining to negotiations for a new collective bargaining agreement with the NFL Players Association. The current CBA runs through the 2010 season, which is expected to proceed as normal. However, questions have been raised about what might happen if no CBA is in place by the start of the 2011 season. The search for answers is expected to commence in earnest in Orlando.

» The Competition Committee is proposing multiple rules changes that focus on player safety. One that is likely to cause the most debate is expanding the protection provided to a "defenseless" receiver after he catches the ball. Currently, the protection ends the moment the receiver has possession of the ball with two feet on the ground. The committee is proposing language that would say that "if a receiver has completed the catch and has not had time to protect himself, a defensive player is prohibited from launching into him in a way that causes the defensive player's helmet, facemask, shoulder or forearm to forcibly strike the receiver's head." Said McKay, "We're trying to expand the protection a period of time because we've seen tape where people literally have caught the ball and had no opportunity to avoid and to protect themselves in any way." It seems that officials will face an enormous challenge trying to make what will be viewed as fair judgments on that one.

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