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Cynthia Frelund

Cynthia Frelund

Cynthia Frelund joined NFL Network in 2016 as an analytics expert, providing her unique insight into the game on NFL Fantasy LIVE, GameDay Morning, and more. 
November

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn?t you want to at least t... more

October

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn?t you want to at least t... more

Now that eight weeks of the 2018 season have passed, we have enough data about the identity and potential of each team to really start sorting out who will be contending in January and who will be picking near the top of the 2019 NFL Draft next sprin... more

With the same focus I had last week in contextualizing production at the wide receiver position and relating it to a team's ability to win , I've also created a method to measure running back impact. My model uses seven seasons of data (2011-2017)... more

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn?t you want to at least t... more

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn?t you want to at least t... more

The standings might still be in flux in 2018, but one thing is readily apparent: Offenses are scoring like crazy. Through Week 6, NFL teams have scored 4,489 combined points, 239 more than the fastest prior six-week scoring pace (4,250 points, set... more

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn?t you want to at least t... more

My projections are based on historical trends, personnel, matchups and probable game scripts. Yes, it could be considered overkill to use 10 full years of past actual data and comparables to forecast each week, but why wouldn?t you want to at least t... more

Through four weeks of the 2018 NFL season, the identity of each team is starting to come into focus. But it's fair to ask how important the standings are at this point of the year. Well, over the past five seasons, more Week 4 division leaders have... more

September

Since 1990, 62.3 percent of teams that started the season 2-0 (142 of 228) have made it to the playoffs. Of the 28 Super Bowl winners in that span, 64.3 percent have started 2-0. The best part about starting off so strong could be establishing the cu... more

Win projections: AFC NFC I love win totals, and these are the best I've got. In order to create season-long win totals, I take data from the past 10 NFL campaigns and use it to forecast this year's outcomes. I make a model that takes into... more

Win projections: NFC AFC I love win totals, and these are the best I've got. In order to create season-long win totals, I take data from the past 10 NFL campaigns and use it to forecast this year's outcomes. I make a model that takes into... more

August

ESPN The Magazine's Mina Kimes wrote an exceptional profile of Jalen Ramsey that included the following comments by the Jaguars cornerback on New England's Rob Gronkowski: "I don't think Gronk's good." Registering my involuntary blinking, he... more

May

Aaron Donald should reset the market for interior pass rushers. In fact, there's a strong case to be made that he should become the highest-paid defensive player in the NFL. I know what you're thinking ... you don't need fancy degrees to tell peopl... more

April

Best value picks of the 2018 NFL Draft: Day 1 Day 2 On Thursday, I used a model that predicts future player performance to identify the five best value picks of the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft. While the players selected in Rounds 2 an... more

Best value picks of the 2018 NFL Draft: Day 1 Day 2 Amid the hype and excitement of the NFL draft, it can be hard to know which teams got their "money's worth" out of their first-round selections. In an attempt to get a better sense of how t... more

March

The Cleveland Browns' new general manager, John Dorsey, might be teaching us more about analytics than he planned. A proud traditionalist and self-avowed "football guy," Dorsey inherited 12 picks in the 2018 NFL Draft -- a parting gift from fired... more

December

Happy Week 17! I can't believe we're here already. Thank you so much for the fun this season, I genuinely appreciate it. Let's do this one last time! To reflect the differences in the end of the season, I've changed this up a little. I'm going to g... more

Happy Week 16! We've reached the playoffs, congrats if you made it and if not, let's play "Perfect Challenge!" We prefer fun in this article. To reflect the differences in the end of the season, I've changed this up a little. I'm going to give five... more

Happy Week 15!! We've reached the playoffs, congrats if you made it and if not, let's play "Perfect Challenge!" To reflect the differences in the end of the season, I've changed this up a little. I'm going to give five stats still, but each point w... more

Happy Week 14! We've reached the playoffs. Congrats if you made it and if not, let's play "Perfect Challenge!" We do fun in this article. In the spirit of the (fantasy) playoffs, I'm going to change this up a little. I'm going to give five stats s... more

November

Happy Week 13! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you some high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be available... more

Happy Week 12!! Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday and part of what makes me so happy is that we all get to take a little extra time to say out loud all of the things we are grateful for. I am super grateful that you spend some time with me and my... more

Happy Week 11!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high-ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availab... more

Happy Week 10!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high-ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availab... more

Happy Week 9!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high-ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availabl... more

October

Happy Week 8!!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availab... more

Happy Week 7!!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availab... more

Happy Week 6!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high-ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availabl... more

Happy Week 5!!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availab... more

September

Happy Week 4!!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availab... more

Happy Week 3 -- the week where I predict a lot of road wins!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your Fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE)... more

Happy Week 2!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your Fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availabl... more

Happy Week 1!!! Each week I'll be giving you five stats to think about as you make your fantasy roster selections. I am also going to give you three high ceiling picks at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) and a kicker and defense that might be availab... more

May

Full mock results Fabiano's analysis Frelund's analysis Since it's May, my strategy was to try to learn something about my opponents' biases and how they think about the relative value of players right now. I'm not as concerned about... more

December

Happy 2017! I can't believe the season has come and almost gone already. Thank you for making my first season at NFL Media a lot of fun. I truly appreciate it and look forward to bringing even more number strategies to the team next season. Every foo... more

Happy Holidays! I'm going to keep this short and sweet this week (or try) as a gift to my awesome editor, Alex Gelhar. Thank you all for an awesome season so far! 1) Projections Note: These projections are based on my stat-line projection for e... more

So ... the power went off at work today, which kind of sounds fun but mostly means a lot of logistical hassles. As such, this is going to be shorter today. On a happy note, the Fantasy team has our holiday party tonight so there should be some ugly... more

Just like last week, I am going to focus on upside players that don't appear in the median projection top seven by position below. Also, let me know what you'd like answered for next week. I want to make sure to make this as useful as possible. I alw... more

I can't believe it's already Week 13! This week I am focusing on players with high ceilings that aren't in my top sevens at each position (listed in No. 1 below). To be clear, those lists are based on median projections like normal, but all the other... more

November

1) Projections Happy Week 12! I hope you had an awesome Thanksgiving and thank you again for sharing your football season with me and my coworkers. I am still eating leftovers -- because they are awesome -- and still thinking about yesterday's gam... more

1) Projections Happy Week 11! Next week let's pick an hour to talk starts, sits and other fantasy questions on Twitter. How about Tuesday, so we can all get a jump on our Thanksgiving roster setting? Let's tentatively say 3pm ET/12pm PT. Actually,... more

1) Projections Some really great feedback you've all given me this week is that you're interested in hearing about more players - so I've included seven in each position and the highlighted stats are not to do with guys listed in the top seven. I... more

As was the case last week, we've changed up this column a little bit ... instead of 15 stats, we're doing five sections. Partly because it takes a billion hours to write and partly because it takes a million hours to edit. I'm guessing it also takes... more

October

1) Five of each position We're changing up this column a little bit ... instead of 15 stats we're doing five sections. Partly because it takes a billion hours to write and partly because it takes a million hours to edit. I'm guessing it also takes... more

Welcome to "Frelund's 15," where each week analytics expert Cynthia Frelund provides you with her 15 must-read stats for the upcoming slate of NFL games. These might not be end-all, be-all stats for making a start or sit decision for your fantasy tea... more

Welcome to "Frelund's 15," where each week analytics expert Cynthia Frelund provides you with her 15 must-read stats for the upcoming slate of NFL games. These might not be end-all, be-all stats for making a start or sit decision for your fantasy tea... more

Welcome to "Frelund's 15," where each week analytics expert Cynthia Frelund provides you with her 15 must-read stats for the upcoming slate of NFL games. These might not be end-all, be-all stats for making a start or sit decision for your fantasy tea... more

September

Welcome to "Frelund's 15," where each week analytics expert Cynthia Frelund provides you with her 15 must-read stats for the upcoming slate of NFL games. These might not be end-all, be all stats for making a start or sit decision for your fantasy tea... more

Welcome to "Frelund's 15," where each week analytics expert Cynthia Frelund provides you with her 15 must-read stats for the upcoming slate of NFL games. These might not be end-all, be all stats for making a start or sit decision for your fantasy tea... more

Welcome to "Frelund's 15," where each week analytics expert Cynthia Frelund provides you with her 15 must-read stats for the upcoming slate of NFL games. These might not be end all, be all stats for making a start or sit decision for your fantasy tea... more

Each week, NFL Media analytics expert Cynthia Frelund will provide you with her 15 must-read stats for the week. These might not be an end all, be all stat for making a start or sit decision, but they're here to help you understand the matchups and m... more

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