Tom Gannam / Associated Press
Despite his past injury woes, Rams running back Steven Jackson will be a surefire first-round pick in 2009 drafts.


The NFL Draft is in the rearview mirror and most of the big free-agent names signed to new contracts, so we now have a much better idea of what fantasy player values will look like when training camps open this summer. We can also see how these moves will impact the first three rounds of fantasy football drafts heading into next season.

As always, each numbered position represents an individual fantasy team, so no more than one quarterback, two running backs or two wide receivers will be selected for each roster. The draft is based on NFL.com's standard scoring system, rewarding one point for each 25 passing yards, 10 rushing and receiving yards and six points for touchdowns.

Mock draft 1.0 | Mock draft 2.0 | Mock draft 3.0

Round 1

Team Player Analysis

Minnesota Vikings

1. Adrian Peterson
Running back
Peterson's name will remain atop these mock drafts right through August. He might have scored an unimpressive 10 touchdowns last season, but A.P. led the NFL with 1,760 rushing yards and still hasn't hit his ceiling in terms of fantasy value. He's a talented and elusive runner with a tremendous offensive line ahead of him, so Peterson should continue to thrive in an offense that will lean on him a lot.


Team Player Analysis

Chicago Bears

2. Matt Forte
Running back
Forte was a huge draft value last season, breaking out to the tune of 1,715 scrimmage yards and 12 total touchdowns. With Jay Cutler now under center for the Bears, he could see even more opportunities to score points for fantasy owners. Forte, who was selected ahead of Peterson in a recent expert league draft I participated in, is a surefire star in fantasy land. He's a solid choice in standard and PPR formats.


Team Player Analysis

Atlanta Falcons

3. Michael Turner
Running back
Turner is coming off a breakout season, rushing for 1,699 yards and 17 touchdowns as the centerpiece of the Falcons offense. While he did finish with close to 400 combined carries, Turner is still young and fresh enough to handle another heavy workload and post solid numbers. The Burner, who will benefit from the presence of Tony Gonzalez, will be a surefire top-three selection in most 2009 drafts.


Team Player Analysis

Jacksonville Jaguars

4. Maurice Jones-Drew
Running back
Jones-Drew's days of being underrated are over. He's averaged 49 receptions, 1,314 scrimmage yards and close to 13 total touchdowns in three NFL seasons, and he'll now be the featured back after the release of Fred Taylor (Patriots). Jones-Drew's value stock rose even more after the NFL Draft, as the Jaguars added OTs Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton to what will be an improved offensive line.


Team Player Analysis

Carolina Panthers

5. DeAngelo Williams
Running back
Fantasy leaguers who think Williams will score 20 touchdowns again are bound to be disappointed, but he's still a solid bet for around 1,300 rushing yards and 12-15 scores. While he did fall one spot from my previous mock draft, Williams remains a surefire first-round selection in a Carolina offense that will continue to lean on the run in 2009. However, he could come off the board later in PPR leagues.


Team Player Analysis

Tennessee Titans

6. Chris Johnson
Running back
Much like Forte, Johnson exploded onto the scene as a rookie and helped countless owners to a championship. He ended the season with 1,228 rushing yards and nine touchdowns despite seeing just 53 percent of the Titans' running back/fullback carries. Johnson is fast and elusive, and he's slated to see an even bigger role in the offense. He will be selected ahead of Williams in most PPR leagues.


Team Player Analysis

St. Louis Rams

7. Steven Jackson
Running back
Despite missing four games, Jackson still finished with 40 catches, 1,421 scrimmage yards and eight total touchdowns in 2008. The Rams will use a West Coast offense under coordinator Pat Shurmur, so Jackson should be able to use his immense skills as a pass catcher. Behind what will be an improved offensive line that added OT Jason Smith in the draft, Jackson should thrive if he can avoid injuries.


Team Player Analysis

Arizona Cardinals

8. Larry Fitzgerald
Wide receiver
The top wide receiver in fantasy football, Fitzgerald is almost certain to come off the board in the first or second round in drafts. He's been ultra-consistent, productive and might the best player at his position in the game right now. With Kurt Warner coming back after signing a two-year deal, Fitzgerald's value in fantasy circles will remain prominent. Let's just hope the Madden cover curse doesn't affect him in 2009.


Team Player Analysis

San Francisco 49ers

9. Frank Gore
Running back
Gore showed flashes of his impressive 2006 form last season, but injuries limited him to 14 games and hurt his value down the stretch. In what promises to be a run-based offense under coordinator Jimmy Raye, however, Gore will remain prominent in the offense. He's young (25) and doesn't share carries (rookie Glen Coffee is more of a potential handcuff than a committee back), which is also a positive.


Team Player Analysis

Dallas Cowboys

10. Marion Barber
Running back
Barber is a touchdown machine who would be ranked ahead of Gore if it weren't for the presence of both Felix Jones and Tashard Choice. Reports out of Dallas suggest he could lose his starting role to Jones and be used as a "closer" -- a role he thrived in from 2006-2007 -- so the situation shouldn't be seen as serious detriment to his value. A versatile back, Barber remains a No. 1 option in all fantasy formats.


Team Player Analysis

Houston Texans

11. Steve Slaton
Running back
While his lack of size (5-9, 203 pounds) was seen as a concern, Slaton disproved the critics as the top runner in Houston. He finished with 50 catches, 1,659 scrimmage yards and 10 total touchdowns, so his value in 2009 will be immense. The Texans failed to add a short-yardage or goal-line back in free agency or the NFL Draft, so Slaton's role should remain prominent. He could go higher in PPR drafts.


Team Player Analysis

Washington Redskins

12. Clinton Portis
Running back
Portis was the best running back in fantasy football for much of 2008, so it's hard to keep him out of the top 12 in next season's drafts. The Redskins didn't add a running back this offseason, so Portis will remain a featured player in an offense that will lean on the run. But be warned, his 342 carries and a multitude of injuries down the stretch could be a red flag that a physical break down is on the horizon.


Round 2

Team Player Analysis

San Diego Chargers

13. LaDainian Tomlinson
Running back
Tomlinson will be 30 at the start of next season and appears to be on the downside of his career. He's still capable of putting up big numbers at times, and coach Norv Turner said this offseason that he wants to get L.T. around 320 carries. He wasn't at all consistent in 2008, though, and could lose work to Darren Sproles. Tomlinson should be considered more of a high-end No. 2 fantasy back.


Team Player Analysis

Houston Texans

14. Andre Johnson
Wide receiver
Johnson, who could be selected ahead of Fitzgerald in some drafts (especially for superstitious owners who fear the Madden curse), is coming off a career season with 115 receptions, an NFL-best 1,575 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. He's a younger version of Terrell Owens and an absolute nightmare for opposing defensive backs. Barring injuries, he'll continue to produce for fantasy leaguers.


Team Player Analysis

Detroit Lions

15. Calvin Johnson
Wide receiver
Johnson played on a winless team and had to adapt to several different quarterbacks, but he still had 78 receptions, 1,331 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2008. Whether it's Daunte Culpepper or No. 1 overall selection Matthew Stafford under center, the man called "Megatron" is a virtual lock to come off the board in the second round in both standard leagues and those that rewards points for catches.


Team Player Analysis

Philadelphia Eagles

16. Brian Westbrook
Running back
Westbrook will be 30 to start next season, and we've already started to see signs of wear and tear on his problematic knees. He's coming off an arthroscopic procedure on one knee, not to mention ankle surgery that could keep him out for part or all of training camp. That makes him even more of a risk, but one that's worth taking in the second round. If you do draft Westbrook, getting LeSean McCoy as well is imperative.


Team Player Analysis

New York Giants

17. Brandon Jacobs
Running back
Jacobs produced career bests in rushing yards (1,089) and touchdowns (15) in 2008. Those numbers were good enough to put him in the top 12 among running backs on NFL.com. The Giants have lost Derrick Ward (Buccaneers), so Jacobs should be in line to see more carries next season. While his proneness to injuries is a concern, Jacobs is still well worth selecting in the second round.


Team Player Analysis

New Orleans Saints

18. Drew Brees
Quarterback
Brees is coming off a monster season, throwing for 5,069 yards and 34 touchdowns. He led all players on NFL.com with 363 fantasy points, and he's one of the few non-running backs who's worthy of first-round consideration in all standard leagues. Brees is consistent, reliable and will be the most coveted signal-caller in most fantasy drafts. He'll be one of the top picks in touchdown-based formats.


Team Player Analysis

New England Patriots

19. Randy Moss
Wide receiver
Moss experienced statistical decreases across the board in 2008, as the Patriots offense was far less explosive once Brady was lost to a torn ACL. However, the quarterback's expected return for the team's regular-season opener against the Bills has increased Moss' value in fantasy football. He won't duplicate his record-breaking 2007 numbers, but Moss is now a surefire No. 1 option once again.


Team Player Analysis

New England Patriots

20. Tom Brady
Quarterback
News on Brady's recovery from knee surgery continues to be positive, and the trade of Matt Cassel to the Chiefs shows that the Patriots are confident he'll be under center in Week 1. That deal moved Brady to second on NFL.com's quarterback rankings behind Brees and into the second round of our latest mock fantasy draft. Barring setbacks, he'll be off the board in the second or third round.


Team Player Analysis

Miami Dolphins

21. Ronnie Brown
Running back
Brown found himself in a backfield committee with Ricky Williams last season, but he still rushed for close to 1,000 yards and scored 10 touchdowns. He'll also have one full season under his belt after a reconstructive knee procedure heading into 2009, and I think he'll see a greater portion of the workload even with Williams still in the backfield mix. Brown should be seen as a solid No. 2 fantasy runner.


Team Player Analysis

Arizona Cardinals

22. Anquan Boldin
Wide receiver
With the NFL Draft now in the rearview mirror and fewer trade rumors surrounding him, Boldin seems destined to remain in Arizona. That's good news in fantasy land. He finished last season with 89 catches, 1,038 yards and 11 touchdowns, and he did it in just 12 games. While Boldin does tend to miss time due to various injuries, he is simply too talented to pass on in the second or third round in fantasy drafts.


Team Player Analysis

Carolina Panthers

23. Steve Smith
Wide receiver
Smith, who was suspended for the first two games of last season, still finished with 78 receptions and a career-best 1,421 yards. Despite his lack of size, he's still a terror for opposing defensive backs and will remain prominent in Carolina's pass attack. That makes him a solid No. 1 fantasy wideout and worth a second-round pick. Smith could go ahead of Boldin in some leagues that reward points for catches.


Team Player Analysis

Indianapolis Colts

24. Peyton Manning
Quarterback
Manning is coming off what some would call a "down" season, throwing for just over 4,000 yards and 27 touchdowns. But he'll enter 2009 at 100 percent (he was coming off multiple knee surgeries to start 2008), and the talent around him will remain solid. He's a virtual guarantee to throw for 4,000-plus yards and 30 touchdowns, which makes Manning a lock to come off the board in the earlier rounds.


Round 3

Team Player Analysis

Indianapolis Colts

25. Reggie Wayne
Wide receiver
Wayne saw his reception, yardage and touchdowns totals fall last season compared to his impressive numbers in 2007. Still, he did post 82 receptions and close to 1,150 yards as the top option for Peyton Manning in the Colts' pass attack. With Marvin Harrison now out of the mix, Wayne should see a rise in both production and fantasy draft value. He's a surefire No. 1 fantasy wideout in most leagues.


Team Player Analysis

Atlanta Falcons

26. Roddy White
Wide receiver
In what was a bizarre 2008 fantasy season, White scored more fantasy points on NFL.com than Randy Moss and Steve Smith. With the emergence of Matt Ryan and in an offense that's well balanced with Turner in the backfield, the athletic White should continue to be a solid source of fantasy points. White, who will also benefit from the presence of Tony Gonzalez, should be considered a No. 1 option.


Team Player Analysis

Detroit Lions

27. Kevin Smith
Running back
Smith should be seen as a potential breakout candidate in 2009. He was a star at the end of his rookie season with nine catches, 329 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns in his last three starts. New coach Jim Schwartz will no doubt lean on the run, so Smith should see more than his share of chances even with Maurice Morris in the mix. He'll be drafted as a No. 2 fantasy back in most formats.


Team Player Analysis

Green Bay Packers

28. Greg Jennings
Wide receiver
Jennings might not be the "sexiest" pick at the wide receiver position, but it's hard to ignore his numbers over the past two seasons. The favorite target of Aaron Rodgers, he finished with career bests in receptions and yards in 2008. A consistent and productive option across the board, Jennings is a surefire No. 1 fantasy wideout. He won't last past the third round in most standard and PPR formats.


Team Player Analysis

New Orleans Saints

29. Pierre Thomas
Running back
The Saints released Deuce McAllister this offseason and didn't draft or sign a back to replace him, so it looks like Thomas will be the starter in coach Sean Payton's backfield in 2009. He is an underrated talent who helped countless owners to a championship last season with stellar performances down the stretch. Despite the presence of Reggie Bush, Thomas will be a second or third rounder in drafts.


Team Player Analysis

Indianapolis Colts

30. Joseph Addai
Running back
Addai's fantasy value took a hit when the Colts drafted Donald Brown, but he'll remain the starter for new coach Jim Caldwell. The veteran should see 50-60 percent of the carries and has 1,000-yard potential if he can avoid injuries. There is some risk with Addai for certain, but he's still in an explosive offense that features Peyton Manning and will keep defenses honest all season. He'll be seen as a No. 2 back.


Team Player Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs

31. Dwayne Bowe
Wide receiver
Bowe is the most attractive breakout candidate in fantasy football at the wide receiver position. He should mature and develop under new coach Todd Haley, who has helped past receivers like Keyshawn Johnson and Marty Booker have huge seasons. The top option in what will be a pass-laden Chiefs offense after the trade of Tony Gonzalez, Bowe should now be seen as a viable No. 1 fantasy wideout.


Team Player Analysis

New England Patriots

32. Wes Welker
Wide receiver
Despite the absence of Brady, Welker quietly finished last season with a solid 111 receptions and 1,165 yards. The smallish wideout out of Texas Tech will continue to see a prominent role in the offense next season, and the return of Brady makes him that much more attractive. Welker, who has added value in leagues that reward points for catches, is a borderline No. 1 or 2 fantasy wideout across the board.


Team Player Analysis

Denver Broncos

33. Brandon Marshall
Wide receiver
While he was inconsistent at times, Marshall still finished with career bests in receptions last season and was a solid option in PPR formats. The addition of new coach Josh McDaniels should be a positive, as is news that he'll avoid a league-imposed suspension for off-field issues, but the trade of Jay Cutler hurt his stock a bit. Overall, Marshall will be seen as a borderline No. 1 or 2 fantasy wideout.


Team Player Analysis

New Orleans Saints

34. Marques Colston
Wide receiver
Colston, the ultimate fantasy sleeper in his rookie season, expects to be 100 percent recovered from knee surgery and fine for the regular-season opener against the Lions. The top wide receiver in the league's most prolific pass attack, Colston should bounce back from an injury-plagued 2008 season and thrive for fantasy leaguers. He's a borderline No. 1 wideout and well worth a third-round selection.


Team Player Analysis

Dallas Cowboys

35. Roy E. Williams
Wide receiver
Williams was an absolute disaster for fantasy leaguers last season, finishing with career lows in receptions, yards and touchdowns. With Terrell Owens now out of the mix, however, the Texas product is now the top wideout for a Cowboys offense that should put some points on the scoreboard. If he can avoid injuries, Williams should bounce back and produce around 1,100 yards and seven-plus touchdowns.


Team Player Analysis

Buffalo Bills

36. Terrell Owens
Wide receiver
Is it me, or will Owens look odd in a Bills' uniform? Regardless, his age and an offense that won't be like the ones he's playing in with the 49ers, Eagles and Cowboys will hurt his value this season. He also needs Trent Edwards to take a few steps forward in his development as an NFL quarterback. Still, Owens is a No. 2 fantasy wideout even if he doesn't put up huge numbers like in seasons past.


Have a burning question for Michael Fabiano on anything fantasy football related? Leave it in our comments section below or send it to AskFabiano@nfl.com, and the best questions will be answered throughout the season right here on NFL.com!

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