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Jets running back Thomas Jones will be hard pressed to duplicate his impressive 2008 numbers.


The term "bust" is the ugliest four-letter word in the world of fantasy football. Just ask anyone who drafted Larry Johnson, Willis McGahee or Chad Johnson (now Ochocinco) last season -- they probably used some four-letters words of their own to describe those decisions.

Whether or not a player can be labeled a bust is relative to his draft position. Johnson, McGahee and Ochocinco were both taken in the earlier rounds, so the description fits them to a tee. But if you took a chance on Jason Campbell or Vernon Davis in the middle to late rounds, well, it wasn't as detrimental to your championship hopes.

The 10 players listed below are most likely to fail to produce solid numbers based on a number of factors, including depth chart movement, age or increased statistical expectations due to impressive 2008 performance, so avoid them in prominent draft positions.

Team Player Analysis

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Antonio Bryant, WR
Bryant turned out to be one of the better sleepers in fantasy land last season, posting career numbers across the board. However, much of his statistical damage was done during a three-week stretch that saw him post 23 catches, 435 yards and four touchdowns. With questions at the quarterback position and the addition of Kellen Winslow in the pass attack, Bryant could struggle to duplicate his 2008 totals.


Team Player Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs

Matt Cassel, QB
Cassel is in a terrific situation to succeed with the Chiefs. He'll also be the unquestioned starter in a pass-laden offense, and it won't hurt that the AFC West has some poor pass defenses. However, there are no guarantees that Cassel won't become this season's Derek Anderson. While Cassel is ranked as a low-end fantasy starter, it's safer to take him in the middle to late rounds as a high-end reserve quarterback.


Team Player Analysis

Chicago Bears

Jay Cutler, QB
Cutler finished the 2008 season as one of the elite quarterbacks in fantasy football, but his offseason move to the Bears hurts his value. The Bears don't have the same level of weapons as the Broncos, and Cutler won't throw the football 616 times in an offense that will focus on Matt Forte and the run. While he's still a fantasy starter, Cutler should now be seen as more of a middle- to late-round selection.


Team Player Analysis

Cleveland Browns

Braylon Edwards, WR
Edwards is in a contract year and should be motivated to rebound after an awful 2008 season, but he's not in a position to find great success. The Browns will use a run-based offense with coach Eric Mangini, and Brady Quinn is no lock to be consistent. Edwards, who dropped a ton of passes last season, will also face countless double coverages with no real complement in the pass attack.


Team Player Analysis

Seattle Seahawks

T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR
Houshmandzadeh's move from the pass-laden Bengals to what will be a run-based system in Seattle is certain to affect his numbers. It's also hard not to consider the failures of fellow WRs Deion Branch and Nate Burleson, who both signed big deals with the Seahawks only to falter in the Great Northwest. Overall, Houshmandzadeh should be seen as more of a No. 2 fantasy wideout in all standard leagues.


Team Player Analysis

New York Jets

Thomas Jones, RB
Jones was one of the best draft values in fantasy land last season, rushing for 1,312 yards with 15 total touchdowns. However, he has little chance to duplicate those numbers this season. Defenses won't have to be as honest with Mark Sanchez or Kellen Clemens, not Brett Favre, under center. What's more, Jones will be 31 this summer and is destined to lose carries to Leon Washington and Shonn Greene.


Team Player Analysis

Buffalo Bills

Marshawn Lynch, RB
Lynch is a very talented runners, but he could be in for a difficult season. He's been suspended three games due to off-field issues, which is enough of a reason to avoid him in a prominent role. If Fred Jackson is productive in his absence, Lynch could see himself in more of a committee situation that also includes Dominic Rhodes. Consider Lynch no more than a low-end No. 2 fantasy running back.


Team Player Analysis

New York Giants

Eli Manning, QB
Manning has won a Super Bowl championship, but he's failed to meet expectations from a fantasy perspective. He tends to be inconsistent and always experiences a decrease in statistical success in the second half of the season. Manning also lost his top option in the pass attack, Plaxico Burress, who accounted for close to 40 percent of his touchdown passes since 2006. He's someone to avoid in drafts.


Team Player Analysis

Baltimore Ravens

Willis McGahee, RB
Fantasy leaguers who think McGahee will return to a featured spot on the Ravens' depth chart should think again. The veteran was a huge disappointment in 2008, as injuries and the emergence of Le'Ron McClain limited his value. McGahee, who is coming off another surgical procedure on his knee, is destined to remain in a committee with McClain and Ray Rice and is someone to avoid at all costs.


Team Player Analysis

New Orleans Saints

Lance Moore, WR
Much like McClain, Moore wasn't selected in most drafts but developed into a fantasy starter last season. His numbers also rose from the absence of an injured starter, as Marques Colston missed five games with thumb problems. Now it's Moore who has injury questions after offseason shoulder surgery that has his status for training camp in doubt. Overall, his numbers seem destined to fall.


Have a burning question for Michael Fabiano on anything fantasy football related? Leave it in our comments section below or send it to AskFabiano@nfl.com, and the best questions will be answered throughout the season right here on NFL.com!

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