The term "bust" is the ugliest four-letter word in fantasy football. Of course, owners who drafted Shaun Alexander or Larry Johnson last season probably used other four-letters words to describe their decision.
But whether or not a player is actually a bust is relative to his draft position. Alexander and Johnson were both taken in the first round last season, so the description fits them to a tee. But if you took a chance on a player like Jason Campbell or LaMont Jordan in the middle to late rounds, well, it wasn't as detrimental that neither performed well on a consistent basis.
So while the 10 players listed below could fail to produce solid numbers based on injuries, age or their projected place on their team's depth chart, it's more important to avoid them in prominent draft positions (Rounds 1-5) rather than avoiding them as potential middle- to late-round selections.
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Minnesota Vikings |
![]() Bernard Berrian Wide receiver |
Berrian has tremendous speed and can stretch defenses, but those skills could be lost in Minnesota. The Vikings will continue to be a run-based offense with Adrian Peterson as the centerpiece, so the pass attack takes a backseat. Furthermore, questions about the skills of Tarvaris Jackson further cloud Berrian's value. He could be hard pressed to duplicate his 2007 totals, so a breakout season doesn't seem to be in the cards for the Fresno State product in 2008. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Oakland Raiders |
![]() Justin Fargas Running back |
Fargas had a terrific season in 2007, rushing for career bests in yards (1,009) and touchdowns (4). That made him an attractive No. 2 back for fantasy owners. But with a potential superstar in rookie Darren McFadden now on the roster, it's unlikely that Fargas will duplicate last season's totals. In fact, Fargas could wind up in a backfield committee or behind McFadden on the depth chart during the regular season. He has little chance to duplicate last season's totals. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() New York Jets |
![]() Brett Favre Quarterback |
Favre is back (albeit as a member of the New York Jets), but he won't duplicate last season's totals. He is one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time, but we should note that in the two seasons prior to 2007, Favre threw for a combined 38 touchdowns and 47 interceptions. There's also a little matter of the Madden cover curse, which has victimized athletes for more than a decade. So before owners get too excited about Favre's "comeback," just remember that he could be a disappointment. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Arizona Cardinals |
![]() Edgerrin James Running back |
When a running back turns 30, many times his overall level of consistent production is affected. That makes James a prime bust candidate in 2008. He'll enter this season with almost 3,000 regular-season carries, not to mention numerous postseason attempts, and that sort of wear and tear is difficult for an older running back to endure. He'll also lose carries to rookie Tim Hightower. James was once an elite option in fantasy land, but now he's little more than a No. 3 fantasy back. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Green Bay Packers |
![]() Greg Jennings Wide receiver |
Jennings had a breakout season in 2007 with 12 touchdown catches, but he'll be hard pressed to duplicate that total without Brett Favre. Favre, now in New York, tossed 28 touchdown passes last season. New starter Aaron Rodgers will be lucky to throw for 20 scores in 2008, so the numbers for Jennings just don't equate. The Packers also have a ton of talent at the wide receiver position, so Jennings could be a bit less consistent as well. He should be seen as no more than a low-end No. 2 fantasy wideout. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Seattle Seahawks |
![]() Julius Jones Running back |
The move from Dallas to Seattle improved the value of Jones. But if you think he's going to emerge into a fantasy star, you have another thing coming. Jones, much like Shaun Alexander, is a finesse runner. He also has little chance to be a featured back with Maurice Morris and T.J. Duckett on the current roster. In fact, a season with 900 rushing yards and four touchdowns is about all that should be expected. Jones will be a viable No. 3 fantasy back or flex starter, but he's not going to set the fantasy world of fire in 2008. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Detroit Lions |
![]() Jon Kitna Quarterback |
Kitna was considered a viable No. 1 fantasy quarterback last season. But with Mike Martz and his pass-laden attack out of the mix, Kitna's value takes a significant hit across the board. The Lions will run a more balanced offense under new coordinator Jim Colletto, so Kitna will struggle to reach the 4,000-yard passing mark. He also has more turnovers than touchdowns since 2006, which is even more reason to pass on Kitna in all fantasy drafts. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Arizona Cardinals |
![]() Matt Leinart Quarterback |
Leinart has lost a lot of his luster in fantasy circles. He struggled in his limited time on the field last season, and there were more offseason reports about his time in hot tubs with co-eds than making strides as an NFL quarterback. He does have some talent in Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, but Leinart's status atop the Arizona depth chart is in question. In fact, Kurt Warner, not Leinart, is the favorite to start this season. He should be avoided in drafts. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Jacksonville Jaguars |
![]() Fred Taylor Running back |
How much longer can Taylor defy Father Time? At 32 and with almost 11,000 regular-season carries on his pro resume, the veteran out of Florida is a risk to break down. Owners should also remember that before his incredible late-season stretch, Taylor was on pace to finish with 966 yards and two touchdowns. He's still worth a middle-round selection as a reserve fantasy back, but be sure to keep Taylor's statistical expectations low for 2008. |
| Team | Player | Analysis |
![]() Oakland Raiders |
![]() Javon Walker Wide receiver |
Walker was out of action or limited for most of the 2007 season in Denver, and now he joins an Oakland offense with the inexperienced JaMarcus Russell under center. He's also had knee problems ever since tearing an ACL as a member of the Green Bay Packers. There's also been reports that Walker has contemplated retirement, which makes him an even greater risk. In fact, Walker is now worth little more than a late-round selection in most formats. |


















