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Posted Sept. 6, 2008

Barber headlines fantasy starters; RB Grant a risk in Week 1

Michael Fabiano By Michael Fabiano  |  NFL.com
Fantasy Editor
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images
Marion Barber should find the end zone at least once against the Cleveland Browns.

Start of the Week

Team Player Analysis

Dallas Cowboys

Marion Barber
Running back
There might not be a more underrated running back in fantasy football than Barber. He's scored more touchdowns than every other back aside from LaDainian Tomlinson over the past two seasons, and that was as a reserve behind Julius Jones. Now he's the unquestioned starter in Dallas and faces a Cleveland defense that was 27th in run defense last season, so Barber should make some noise.


Quarterbacks -- Start 'Em

Team Player Analysis

Arizona Cardinals

Kurt Warner
Warner went from undrafted to a top-10 fantasy quarterback when he beat out Matt Leinart for the top spot in Arizona. Now he's almost a must-start against San Francisco. He and has averaged 380 passing yards and thrown six touchdowns in his past three starts against them. It's time for owners to crank up the Warner Machine.


Team Player Analysis

Detroit Lions

Jon Kitna
Kitna had a tremendous preseason for the Lions, finishing all three of his starts with a passer rating of at least 103.8. While that pace will be almost impossible to retain all season, he should have a fast start in Week 1 against Atlanta. The Falcons finished last season 23rd in pass defense, and that was with CB DeAngelo Hall on the roster.


More quarterbacks with favorable matchups
Donovan McNabb vs. St. Louis, Matt Hasselbeck at Buffalo, Aaron Rodgers vs. Minnesota (Mon.), Ben Roethlisberger vs. Houston, Tony Romo at Cleveland.

Sleeper alert: J.T. O'Sullivan vs. Arizona.


Quarterbacks -- Sit 'Em

Team Player Analysis

Denver Broncos

Jay Cutler
I am a huge fan of Cutler, but I'd sit him if I had a quarterback with a more favorable matchup. The strong-armed gunslinger faces an Oakland defense that ranked eighth vs. the pass last season, and that was before the additions of Hall and SS Gibril Wilson. Cutler will also be without Brandon Marshall, who is suspended for the opener.


Team Player Analysis

Tennessee Titans

Vince Young
Young should rebound from a poor sophomore season, but it won't start against Jacksonville. The Jaguars have been difficult for Young to conquer, as he's averaged 146 passing yards with two touchdowns and six interceptions in four career games against them. I'd keep him on the pine until next week, when he faces a weak Cincinnati defense.


More quarterbacks with unfavorable matchups
Marc Bulger at Philadelphia, Brett Favre at Miami, David Garrard at Tennessee, JaMarcus Russell vs. Denver (Mon.), Matt Schaub at Pittsburgh.

Owners beware: Derek Anderson vs. Dallas.


Running backs -- Start 'Em

Team Player Analysis

New York Jets

Thomas Jones
Jones might be a little long in the tooth (he turned 30 last month), but he's still a solid option in fantasy land. With four first-round picks on the Jets' offensive line and a date against Miami on the slate, Jones should post solid numbers. The 'Fins did make wholesale changes on defense, but this unit was dead last vs. the run last season.


More running backs with favorable matchups
Earnest Graham at New Orleans, Darren McFadden vs. Denver (Mon.), Kevin Smith at Atlanta, Michael Turner vs. Detroit, Selvin Young at Oakland (Mon.).

Sleeper alert: Ricky Williams vs. N.Y. Jets.


Running backs -- Sit 'Em

Team Player Analysis

Green Bay Packers

Ryan Grant
Grant was a first- or second-round selection in most drafts, so most owners almost have to start him. But last season's sleeper extraordinaire missed much of the preseason with an injured hamstring and could be limited in Week 1. Furthermore, he's facing a Minnesota defense that finished last season first vs. the run.


Team Player Analysis

Seattle Seahawks

Julius Jones
Jones was so unimpressive during the preseason that coach Mike Holmgren has decided to start Maurice Morris ahead of him in Week 1. The former Golden Domer will still see his share of carries, but it's hard to envision a scenario where he'll produce against a Buffalo defense that should be better vs. the run with DT Marcus Stroud.


More running backs with unfavorable matchups
Ahman Green at Pittsburgh, Jamal Lewis vs. Dallas, Chris Perry at Baltimore, Fred Taylor at Tennessee, LenDale White vs. Jacksonville.

Owners beware: Willis McGahee vs. Cincinnati.


Wide receivers -- Start 'Em

Team Player Analysis

Cincinnati Bengals

T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Houshmandzadeh didn't do much work in the preseason due to an injured hamstring, but it looks like he's safe to start this week against a Baltimore defense that could be without SS Ed Reed (neck). Houshmandzadeh also wrecks the Ravens -- he's averaged seven receptions and scored four times in his last six games against them.


Team Player Analysis

Pittsburgh Steelers

Santonio Holmes
Holmes is primed for a breakout season, and this week's matchup against Houston could mean a fast start for the Ohio State speedster. The Texans were 26th in receiving defense last season and will be without CB Dunta Robinson (PUP list) for the contest. Holmes should wrangle the Texans' defensive back and is a solid fantasy choice.


More wide receivers with favorable matchups
Larry Fitzgerald at San Francisco, Joey Galloway at New Orleans, Greg Jennings vs. Minnesota (Mon.), Calvin Johnson at Atlanta, Roddy White vs. Detroit.

Sleeper alert: Patrick Crayton at Cleveland.


Wide receivers -- Sit 'Em

Team Player Analysis

Buffalo Bills

Lee Evans
There might not have been a more disappointing wideout in fantasy land last season than Evans. He failed to post 80-plus yards in his final eight starts and scored a mere three times in that time, so his value has decreased across the board. This week he faces a Seattle defense that allowed the fewest receiving touchdowns (15) in 2007.


Team Player Analysis

Oakland Raiders

Javon Walker
Walker struggled in training camp (at one point he contemplated retirement) and might not even be a starter had Drew Carter (knee) not be lost for the season. The veteran is also nursing a sore hamstring and remains a risk against a Denver defense that ranked sixth vs. the pass in 2007. Consider Walker a desperation choice at best.


More wide receivers with unfavorable matchups
Bernard Berrian at Green Bay (Mon.), Dwayne Bowe at New England, Chris Chambers vs. Carolina, Laveranues Coles at Miami, Devin Hester at Indianapolis.

Owners beware: Torry Holt at Philadelphia.


Tight ends -- Start 'Em

Team Player Analysis

San Diego Chargers

Antonio Gates
Gates being listed as a starter is less about this week's matchup against Carolina and more about his injury status. The talented tight end missed a portion of camp as he recovered from toe surgery, but he returned to work in recent weeks and is expected to start in Week 1. Gates is still a bit of a risk, but it's hard not to start him if he's active.


Team Player Analysis

Indianapolis Colts

Dallas Clark
Clark led all tight ends in touchdown catches (11) last season, so his value in fantasy circles has never been higher. While duplicating that total will not be easy, Clark will remain a prominent option for Peyton Manning. This week he'll face a Chicago defense that allowed an average of close to 250 receiving yards per game last season.


More tight ends with favorable matchups
Vernon Davis vs. Arizona, Todd Heap vs. Cincinnati, Donald Lee vs. Minnesota (Mon.), Heath Miller vs. Houston, Jason Witten at Cleveland.

Sleeper alert: L.J. Smith vs. St. Louis.


Tight ends -- Sit 'Em

Team Player Analysis

New Orleans Saints

Jeremy Shockey
Shockey's stock did increase after a trade that sent him to New Orleans, but he didn't see a single preseason snap as he recovers from an injured leg. What's more, he hasn't been in a game since December. A matchup against a Tampa Bay unit that was tops in pass defense last season doesn't help his cause to start for owners.


Team Player Analysis

Chicago Bears

Greg Olsen
Olsen is a quality sleeper candidate on a Chicago team with no clear-cut No. 1 receiver on offense, but he could get off to a slow start against Indianapolis. The Colts ranked second in pass defense and surrendered a mere 16 receiving touchdowns in 2007, so opportunities to score fantasy points could be few and far between.


More tight ends with unfavorable matchups
Alge Crumpler vs. Jacksonville, Randy McMichael at Philadelphia, Zach Miller vs. Denver (Mon.), Tony Scheffler at Oakland (Mon.), Benjamin Watson vs. Kansas City.

Owners beware: Owen Daniels at Pittsburgh.


Kickers -- Start 'Em

Team Player Analysis

New England Patriots

Stephen Gostkowski
Gostkowski made a ridiculous 74 extra points with 21 field-goal conversions and finished as one of the better kickers in fantasy football last season. His status as an elite booter will continue in 2008, and a matchup against a Kansas City defense that surrendered the second-most field goals (34) makes Gostkowski a sound choice.


More kickers with favorable matchups
Mason Crosby vs. Minnesota (Mon.), Nick Folk at Cleveland, Shayne Graham at Baltimore, Jason Hanson at Atlanta, Jeff Reed vs. Houston.

Sleeper alert: Matt Prater at Oakland (Mon.).


Kickers -- Sit 'Em

Team Player Analysis

Houston Texans

Kris Brown
Brown is coming off a solid season that saw him tie an NFL single-game record with three field goals of over 50 yards. However, the veteran isn't a great choice this week against Pittsburgh. Heinz Field has become notorious for being tough on kickers, and the Steelers allowed an average of just 1.1 field goals per game in 2007.


More kickers with unfavorable matchups
Rob Bironas vs. Jacksonville, Jason Elam vs. Detroit, Martin Gramatica vs. Tampa Bay, John Kasay at San Diego, Josh Scobee at Tennessee.

Owners beware: Robbie Gould at Indianapolis.


Defenses -- Start 'Em

Team Player

Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles defense should be much improved after the addition of CB Asante Samuel, and DC Jimmie Johnson should look to blitz what is a questionable Rams offensive line in Week 1. The Rams are also not a good team outdoors, so the Eagles could post a nice total for fantasy owners. If you lack a stout defense, the Eagles are a nice option.


More defenses with favorable matchups
Colts defense vs. Chicago, Lions defense at Atlanta, Steelers defense vs. Houston, Patriots defense vs. Kansas City, Seahawks defense at Buffalo.

Sleeper alert: Bengals defense at Baltimore.


Defenses -- Sit 'Em

Team Player

Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens defense was a major disappointment in fantasy circles last season, and it's not much better heading into 2008. With Reed a question mark, a rookie quarterback under center and an explosive Cincinnati offense coming to town, this defense could be on the field a lot. Unless you're in a larger league, the Ravens should be avoided.


More defenses with unfavorable matchups
Bears defense at Indianapolis, Browns defense vs. Dallas, Chiefs defense at New England, Panthers defense at San Diego, Texans defense at Pittsburgh.

Owners beware: Buccaneers defense at New Orleans.